储能电站规模年份储能配比储能20253200220%128038419210%640192965%320964820304800220%192057628810%9602881445%4801447220508000220%320096048010%16004802405%800240120光伏、风电网内装机储能时长(小时)储能电站(万千瓦时)(万千瓦时)(万千瓦时)造价下降趋势年份2025高2700中2500低23002030高2000中1800低16002050高1400中1200低1000较2020年下降幅度单位造价(元/kWh)93.68720.410.62每日充放电次数224007.682564880.4日调频次数10142800.5单元年收入(万元/年)1.参与现货交易收入(万元/年/单元)低谷充电电价(元/kWh)高峰放电电价(元/kWh)功率(MW)峰谷价差(元/kWh)容量(MWh)容量(MWh)电池衰减(%/年)日收入(元/日)2.调频服务收入(万元/年/单元)日调频辅助服务收益=D·Kp·YAGC每日调频里程D(MW)调频性能指标Kp调频补偿系数(元/MW)调频深度(按照容量的20%计算)3.容量市场收入(万元/年/单元)容量补偿标准(元/kW)等效容量(kW)(暂按照4h进行折算)基准单元总循环次数年运行天数年循环次数运行年数160003006001022年份净现值(万元)2025高-5532.50-5.277%中-110649.99-5.277%低-22130.00-5.277%2030高20121.073.952%中10060.543.952%低5030.273.952%2050高159160.7323.851%中79580.3623.851%低39790.1823.851%储能电站规模(万kW/万kWh)内部收益率(%)投资回收期(年)---7.497.497.493.33.33.396单元数量482500250建设投资(万元)24000合计建设期序号项目(万元)011现金流入0.003824.641.1现货交易收入0.003456.001.2调频市场收入0.00368.641.3容量市场收入0.000.002现金流出24000.00960.002.1建设成本24000.000.002.2运维成本0.00960.002.3退役处置成本0.000.003净现金流量-24000.002864.644折现率6%终值系数1.001.06现值系数1.000.945净现金流量现值-24000.002702.496累计净现金流量现值-24000.00-21297.51序号财务指标1净现值(万元)-5532.502-5.277%3投资回收期(年)-储能电站总容量(MWh)单位造价(元/kWh)单位造价(万元/MWh)内部收益率(%)运营期2345673755.523687.783621.403556.343492.593430.113386.883319.143252.763187.703123.953061.47368.64368.64368.64368.64368.64368.640.000.000.000.000.000.00960.00960.00960.00960.00960.00960.000.000.000.000.000.000.00960.00960.00960.00960.00960.00960.000.000.000.000.000.000.002795.522727.782661.402596.342532.592470.111.121.191.261.341.421.500.890.840.790.750.700.672488.002290.302108.081940.141785.381642.77-18809.51-16519.21-14411.13-12470.99-10685.61-9042.8589103368.883308.883250.073000.242940.242881.43368.64368.64368.640.000.000.00960.00960.002160.000.000.000.00960.00960.00960.000.000.001200.002408.882348.881090.071.591.691.790.630.590.561511.361390.30608.69-7531.49-6141.19-5532.501920单元数量9602500250建设投资(万元)480000合计建设期序号项目(万元)011现金流入0.0076492.801.1现货交易收入0.0069120.001.2调频市场收入0.007372.801.3容量市场收入0.000.002现金流出480000.0019200.002.1建设成本480000.000.002.2运维成本0.0019200.002.3退役处置成本0.000.003净现金流量-480000.0057292.804折现率6%终值系数1.001.06现值系数1.000.945净现金流量现值-480000.0054049.816累计净现金流量现值-480000.00-425950.19序号财务指标1净现值(万元)-110649.992-5.277%3投资回收期(年)-储能电站总容量(MWh)单位造价(元/kWh)单位造价(万元/MWh)内部收益率(%)运营期23456775110.4073755.6572427.9971126.8969851.8168602.2367737.6066382.8565055.1963754.0962479.0161229.437372.807372.807372.807372.807372.807372.800.000.000.000.000.000.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.000.000.000.000.000.000.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.0019200.000.000.000.000.000.000.0055910.4054555.6553227.9951926.8950651.8149402.231.121.191.261.341.421.500.890.840.790.750.700.6749760.0645805.9742161.5538802.7935707.5232855.30-376190.13-330384.16-288222.60-249419.81-213712.29-180856.99891067377.6466177.5465001.4560004.8458804.7457628.657372.807372.807372.800.000.000.0019200.0019200.0043200.000.000.000.0019200.0019200.0019200.000.000.0024000.0048177.6446977.5421801.451.591.691.790.630.590.5630227.2527805.9312173.81-150629.74-122823.81-110649.99384单元数量1922500250建设投资(万元)96000合计建设期序号项目(万元)011现金流入0.0015298.561.1现货交易收入0.0013824.001.2调频市场收入0.001474.561.3容量市场收入0.000.002现金流出96000.003840.002.1建设成本96000.000.002.2运维成本0.003840.002.3退役处置成本0.000.003净现金流量-96000.0011458.564折现率6%终值系数1.001.06现值系数1.000.945净现金流量现值-96000.0010809.966累计净现金流量现值-96000.00-85190.04序号财务指标1净现值(万元)-22130.002-5.277%3投资回收期(年)-储能电站总容量(MWh)单位造价(元/kWh)单位造价(万元/MWh)内部收益率(%)运营期23456715022.0814751.1314485.6014225.3813970.3613720.4513547.5213276.5713011.0412750.8212495.8012245.891474.561474.561474.561474.561474.561474.560.000.000.000.000.000.003840.003840.003840.003840.003840.003840.000.000.000.000.000.000.003840.003840.003840.003840.003840.003840.000.000.000.000.000.000.0011182.0810911.1310645.6010385.3810130.369880.451.121.191.261.341.421.500.890.840.790.750.700.679952.019161.198432.317760.567141.506571.06-75238.03-66076.83-57644.52-49883.96-42742.46-36171.40891013475.5313235.5113000.2912000.9711760.9511525.731474.561474.561474.560.000.000.003840.003840.008640.000.000.000.003840.003840.003840.000.000.004800.009635.539395.514360.291.591.691.790.630.590.566045.455561.192434.76-30125.95-24564.76-22130.00144单元数量721800180建设投资(万元)25920合计建设期序号项目(万元)011现金流入0.005736.961.1现货交易收入0.005184.001.2调频市场收入0.00552.961.3容量市场收入0.000.002现金流出25920.001036.802.1建设成本25920.000.002.2运维成本0.001036.802.3退役处置成本0.000.003净现金流量-25920.004700.164折现率6%终值系数1.001.06现值系数1.000.945净现金流量现值-25920.004434.116累计净现金流量现值-25920.00-21485.89序号财务指标1净现值(万元)5030.2723.952%3投资回收期(年)7.49储能电站总容量(MWh)单位造价(元/kWh)单位造价(万元/MWh)内部收益率(%)运营期2345675633.285531.675432.105334.525238.895145.175080.324978.714879.144781.564685.934592.21552.96552.96552.96552.96552.96552.960.000.000.000.000.000.001036.801036.801036.801036.801036.801036.800.000.000.000.000.000.001036.801036.801036.801036.801036.801036.800.000.000.000.000.000.004596.484494.874395.304297.724202.094108.371.121.191.261.341.421.500.890.840.790.750.700.674090.853773.983481.493211.502962.302732.30-17395.04-13621.05-101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0.003净现金流量-115200.0040358.404折现率6%终值系数1.001.06现值系数1.000.945净现金流量现值-115200.0038073.966累计净现金流量现值-115200.00-77126.04序号财务指标1净现值(万元)159160.73223.851%3投资回收期(年)3.30储能电站总容量(MWh)单位造价(元/kWh)单位造价(万元/MWh)内部收益率(%)运营期23456744275.2043597.8242934.0042283.4441645.9041021.1133868.8033191.4232527.6031877.0431239.5030614.713686.403686.403686.403686.403686.403686.406720.006720.006720.006720.006720.006720.004608.004608.004608.004608.004608.004608.000.000.000.000.000.000.004608.004608.004608.004608.004608.004608.000.000.000.000.000.000.0039667.2038989.8238326.0037675.4437037.9036413.111.121.191.261.341.421.500.890.840.790.750.700.6735303.6732736.6130357.7828153.2826110.2624216.80-41822.37-9085.7621272.0249425.3075535.5699752.360.30891040408.8239808.7739220.7230002.4229402.3728814.323686.403686.403686.406720.006720.006720.004608.004608.0010368.000.000.000.004608.004608.004608.000.000.005760.0035800.8235200.7728852.721.591.691.790.630.590.5622461.8820835.2816111.21122214.23143049.52159160.73-4.44