2023年全球采矿和金属行业展望(英文版)--毕马威VIP专享VIP免费

KPMG International
2023 Global
Mining and
Metals Outlook
Executive insights
ondecarbonization
KPMG.com/mining
KPMG.com/metals
Foreword
For the mining and metals industry,
the challenge is unique. It must
quickly increase production to supply
global business with the materials it
needs to shift to a carbon-free future.
Yet it must do so without harming the
environment, while restructuring its
own operations so that they consume
less carbon.
This transformation will depend
partly on the mining and metals
executives we contacted to compile
this report and on the readers of it –
plus thousands of others like them.
As leaders of their companies, their
responsibility is to guide the industry
onto a more sustainable path and to
convince a skeptical audience that
they are doing so in a sustainable
fashion. As one industry leader
explains in this report, there has never
been greater demand for metals and
minerals, but it’s never been harder
to develop new mines. The same
challenge can be said for makers of
steel and other materials that need to
invest rapidly in new processes that
will cut carbon emissions.
KPMG International compiled this
report to provide insights on these
challenges and the opportunities
itpresents.
We would like to extend special
thanks to our external contributors of
the report, Tom O’Leary, Managing
Director and Chief Executive Officer
of Iluka Resources, Dale Henderson,
Chief Executive Ofcer of Pilbara
Minerals and Rohitesh Dhawan,
President and Chief Executive Officer
of the International Council on Mining
& Metals. Their expertise was able to
provide additional color and depth to
the findings of this report.
Our 2023 Outlook report
shows metals and mining
company executives
understand that to succeed in
reconciling ambitious growth
targets with stringent carbon-
reduction objectives, they will
have to design their operating
model to accommodate
bothobjectives.
Trevor Hart
Global Head of Mining
KPMG International
“The drive to decarbonize
is redrawing the map of the
metals and mining industry.
Metals manufacturers
need to shift their business
models toward a new, global
environment that reflects the
true cost of carbon reduction.
Ugo Platania
Global Head of Metals
KPMG International
The mining and metals industry has played a pivotal
role through history, speeding the transition from
Bronze Age to Iron Age and through the Industrial
Revolution. Now it must play a similarly crucial role
in a global revolution no less momentous than the
others before it. If we are to stand a reasonable chance
of slowing, and ultimately reversing, climate change,
the world economy must become carbon-free.
2023 Global Mining and Metals Outlook 2
©2023 Copyright owned by one or more of the KPMG International entities. KPMG International entities provide no services to clients. All rights reserved.
Executive summary
The mining and metals industry
appears confident that it can
meet the tremendous increases
in the demand for minerals
that will enable clean-energy
technologies. Optimists outnumber
pessimists by 12 to 1, but by 6 to
1 among producers of materials
critical to a net-zero future, such
as lithium and copper.
Mining and metals executives
are confident the industry can
increase production without
compromising its own objectives
for a net-zero future and respond
to environmental, social and
governance (ESG) concerns.
The ratio of optimists to pessimists
is nearly 10 to one.
If the industry is to achieve its net-
zero and ESG objectives, it must
integrate them into enterprise
strategy. But only 28 percent have
already done so, and 34 percent
say their company has only just
begun this.
One reason why executives are
confident about the future is that
they regard decarbonization plans
as a growth opportunity and not
merely a cost of doing business.
The specific opportunity over the
next five years is to transform the
carbon footprint of their operations
through technology investments.
The rapid progress mining
companies are already making
to reduce carbon emissions
is encouraging them to invest
more in efforts to decarbonize.
The survey shows that improving
energy consumption efficiency is
the highest priority for tackling the
environmental challenges from
mining and metals processing.
While mining and metals companies
invest heavily in reducing their
carbon footprint, they are also
focusing on ESG goals. Executives
consider that the highest priority
for tackling the social impact of
mining and metals processing
is to provide it’s workforce
with healthcare, paid leave and
retirement benefits.
Leaders in the industry are
aware that they must play
a crucial role in this carbon
transformation. The survey shows
that the most effective measure
to help companies meet their ESG
objectives is to ensure that the
CEO and the Board of Directors are
committed to these goals.
A main driver of the changes that
characterize this new phase of the
mining and metals industry has
been the introduction of new
technologies and innovations.
Technological changes are seen
as the most important factor
affecting executives’ five-year
demand projections.
Tougher government scrutiny of
ESG and net-zero performance
is regarded by executives as the
biggest risk to operations in the
next five years - almost 50
percent say so. By contrast,
around 25 percent say climate risk
to operations is very significant.
The drive to decarbonize is
redrawing the map of the mining
and metals industry. Almost a
quarter are planning to increase
their geographical footprint
significantly and a further 41 percent
plan to do so by a small amount.
The mining and metals industry will play a crucial role in enabling the global economy to shift to a
carbon-free future. To find out more about its plans to supply the world with “green” materials, KPMG
International surveyed more than 400 C-suite executives and board members from across the globe
about their expectations. Among the main findings:
2023 Global Mining and Metals Outlook 3
©2023 Copyright owned by one or more of the KPMG International entities. KPMG International entities provide no services to clients. All rights reserved.
KPMGInternational2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlookExecutiveinsightsondecarbonizationKPMG.com/miningKPMG.com/metalsForewordFortheminingandmetalsindustry,thechallengeisunique.Itmustquicklyincreaseproductiontosupplyglobalbusinesswiththematerialsitneedstoshifttoacarbon-freefuture.Yetitmustdosowithoutharmingtheenvironment,whilerestructuringitsownoperationssothattheyconsumelesscarbon.Thistransformationwilldependpartlyontheminingandmetalsexecutiveswecontactedtocompilethisreportandonthereadersofit–plusthousandsofotherslikethem.Asleadersoftheircompanies,theirresponsibilityistoguidetheindustryontoamoresustainablepathandtoconvinceaskepticalaudiencethattheyaredoingsoinasustainablefashion.Asoneindustryleaderexplainsinthisreport,therehasneverbeengreaterdemandformetalsandminerals,butit’sneverbeenhardertodevelopnewmines.Thesamechallengecanbesaidformakersofsteelandothermaterialsthatneedtoinvestrapidlyinnewprocessesthatwillcutcarbonemissions.KPMGInternationalcompiledthisreporttoprovideinsightsonthesechallengesandtheopportunitiesitpresents.Wewouldliketoextendspecialthankstoourexternalcontributorsofthereport,TomO’Leary,ManagingDirectorandChiefExecutiveOfficerofIlukaResources,DaleHenderson,ChiefExecutiveOfficerofPilbaraMineralsandRohiteshDhawan,PresidentandChiefExecutiveOfficeroftheInternationalCouncilonMining&Metals.Theirexpertisewasabletoprovideadditionalcoloranddepthtothefindingsofthisreport.“Our2023Outlookreportshowsmetalsandminingcompanyexecutivesunderstandthattosucceedinreconcilingambitiousgrowthtargetswithstringentcarbon-reductionobjectives,theywillhavetodesigntheiroperatingmodeltoaccommodatebothobjectives.”TrevorHartGlobalHeadofMiningKPMGInternational“Thedrivetodecarbonizeisredrawingthemapofthemetalsandminingindustry.Metalsmanufacturersneedtoshifttheirbusinessmodelstowardanew,globalenvironmentthatreflectsthetruecostofcarbonreduction.”UgoPlataniaGlobalHeadofMetalsKPMGInternationalTheminingandmetalsindustryhasplayedapivotalrolethroughhistory,speedingthetransitionfromBronzeAgetoIronAgeandthroughtheIndustrialRevolution.Nowitmustplayasimilarlycrucialroleinaglobalrevolutionnolessmomentousthantheothersbeforeit.Ifwearetostandareasonablechanceofslowing,andultimatelyreversing,climatechange,theworldeconomymustbecomecarbon-free.2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook2©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.ExecutivesummaryTheminingandmetalsindustryappearsconfidentthatitcanmeetthetremendousincreasesinthedemandformineralsthatwillenableclean-energytechnologies.Optimistsoutnumberpessimistsby12to1,butby6to1amongproducersofmaterialscriticaltoanet-zerofuture,suchaslithiumandcopper.Miningandmetalsexecutivesareconfidenttheindustrycanincreaseproductionwithoutcompromisingitsownobjectivesforanet-zerofutureandrespondtoenvironmental,socialandgovernance(ESG)concerns.Theratioofoptimiststopessimistsisnearly10toone.Iftheindustryistoachieveitsnet-zeroandESGobjectives,itmustintegratethemintoenterprisestrategy.Butonly28percenthavealreadydoneso,and34percentsaytheircompanyhasonlyjustbegunthis.Onereasonwhyexecutivesareconfidentaboutthefutureisthattheyregarddecarbonizationplansasagrowthopportunityandnotmerelyacostofdoingbusiness.Thespecificopportunityoverthenextfiveyearsistotransformthecarbonfootprintoftheiroperationsthroughtechnologyinvestments.Therapidprogressminingcompaniesarealreadymakingtoreducecarbonemissionsisencouragingthemtoinvestmoreineffortstodecarbonize.Thesurveyshowsthatimprovingenergyconsumptionefficiencyisthehighestpriorityfortacklingtheenvironmentalchallengesfromminingandmetalsprocessing.Whileminingandmetalscompaniesinvestheavilyinreducingtheircarbonfootprint,theyarealsofocusingonESGgoals.Executivesconsiderthatthehighestpriorityfortacklingthesocialimpactofminingandmetalsprocessingistoprovideit’sworkforcewithhealthcare,paidleaveandretirementbenefits.Leadersintheindustryareawarethattheymustplayacrucialroleinthiscarbontransformation.ThesurveyshowsthatthemosteffectivemeasuretohelpcompaniesmeettheirESGobjectivesistoensurethattheCEOandtheBoardofDirectorsarecommittedtothesegoals.Amaindriverofthechangesthatcharacterizethisnewphaseoftheminingandmetalsindustryhasbeentheintroductionofnewtechnologiesandinnovations.Technologicalchangesareseenasthemostimportantfactoraffectingexecutives’five-yeardemandprojections.ToughergovernmentscrutinyofESGandnet-zeroperformanceisregardedbyexecutivesasthebiggestrisktooperationsinthenextfiveyears-almost50percentsayso.Bycontrast,around25percentsayclimaterisktooperationsisverysignificant.Thedrivetodecarbonizeisredrawingthemapoftheminingandmetalsindustry.Almostaquarterareplanningtoincreasetheirgeographicalfootprintsignificantlyandafurther41percentplantodosobyasmallamount.Theminingandmetalsindustrywillplayacrucialroleinenablingtheglobaleconomytoshifttoacarbon-freefuture.Tofindoutmoreaboutitsplanstosupplytheworldwith“green”materials,KPMGInternationalsurveyedmorethan400C-suiteexecutivesandboardmembersfromacrosstheglobeabouttheirexpectations.Amongthemainfindings:2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook3©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Contents2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook4©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.0510131619252832300721ConclusionEnteringanewphaseInsearchofgreenstrategiesAbigopportunityFreedomfromcarbonAfocusonESGgoalsLeadersneededRaisingthebarGeographicaljigsawContactusTheimportanceoftechnologyEnteringa©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Astheglobaleconomypivotstowardacarbon-freefuture,onebigquestioniswhetherminingandmetalscompanieswillbeabletosupplythegrowingquantitiesofmaterialsneededforsuchthingsaswindturbines,solarpanelsandelectricvehiclestosupportthetransitiontoanet-zeroworld.AstheInternationalEnergyAgencynotes1,mineralrequirementsforcleanenergytechnologieswouldneedtoquadrupleby2040toreachtheParisAgreementgoalofatemperatureriseofwellbelow2degreescentigrade.“Anevenfastertransition,tohitnet-zerogloballyby2050,wouldrequiresixtimesmoremineralinputsin2040thantoday,”saystheIEA.Whilemanyanxiouslywaitfortheanswertothisquestion,theminingandmetalsindustryappearsconfidentthatitwillbeabletomeetthesedemandprojections,accordingtoaglobalsurveybyKPMGInternationalofmorethan400C-levelexecutivesselectedtorepresentarangeofminingandmetalproductionactivities,rangingfromsteeltocoaltolithium.Optimistsoutnumberpessimistsbynearly12to1,butby6to1amongproducersofmaterialscriticaltoanet-zerofuture,suchaslithiumandcopper.Tofindoutwhyexecutivesoverallareoptimisticandhowtheybelievetheycanachievethesegoals,KPMGInternationalundertookadetailedanalysisofthesurveydataandinterviewedtwochiefexecutiveofficersofkeycompaniesproducingcriticalminerals.Wealsoreliedupontheinsightsofseveralsubjectmatterexpertswithdeepexperiencewithintheindustry.KPMGInternationalspoketoRohiteshDhawan,PresidentandChiefExecutiveOfficeroftheInternationalCouncilonMining&Metals(ICMM),whosememberscompriseathirdoftheglobalindustry.Fromhispositionasspokespersonfortheglobalindustry’sroleinarangeofissues,Dhawanunderstandsitscrucialroleatthispointinhistory.“We’reenteringanewphasethatwe’veneverhadbefore.Theworldisnowfullyinvestedinourindustryinawayitwasnotpreviously.Thismeansthatthethingsthatgotusherearen’tthethingsthatwilltakeustothenextphaseinourrelationshipwithsociety.Itrequiresustoengagedifferently,”hesays.¹Theroleofcriticalmineralsincleanenergytransitions,IEA,May2021EnteringanewphaseDemandformaterialsusedinthetransitiontoagreenerplanetwillhavetorisedramaticallyoverthenext10-20years.Overall,howconfidentareyouthatthemetalsandminingindustrycanmeettheincreasingdemand?5%53%26%14%2%VeryconfidentConfidentNeutralNotconfidentNotatallconfident79%7%highconfidencelowconfidence14%neutralviewSource:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook6©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Insearchof©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Theminingandmetalsindustryasawhole,especiallywithregardstocriticalminerals,isenteringunchartedwaters.OneexecutivewhorelishestheprospectisWesternAustralia-basedDaleHenderson,theCEOofPilbaraMinerals,thelargestindependenthard-rocklithiumoperationintheworld.Hiscompany’sproductisacrucialingredientinelectricvehiclebatteries.“Giventhatit’sarelativelynewindustry,there’snoplaybooktofollow,”saysHenderson.“Butbythinkingdeeplyandcarefullyaroundthislandscape,there’sabigopportunitytogetitright.That’scertainlywhereIamspendingmytime.It’sbeenacrazyjourneyforourbusiness,butit’sexciting.”EquallyconfidentisTomO’Leary,ManagingDirectorandChiefExecutiveOfficerofIlukaResources.By2027hiscompanyispositionedtoproducethe“overwhelmingmajority”ofheavyrareearthsglobally,outsideofChina,inparticulardysprosiumandterbium,whichareusedinelectricvehiclesandinthedefenseindustry.“Theexpectationiswidelyacknowledgedintheindustrythatthereisagoingtobeashortfallinglobalsupplyintotheearly2030s,though,andwe’llbelookingtomeetsomeofthatshortfall,”O’Learysays.Behindtheoptimismintheindustry,however,aretwoother,relatedquestions.•Cantheminingandmetalsindustryincreaseproductionwithoutcompromisingitsownobjectivesforanet-zerofutureandrespondtoESGconcerns?•Howdoestheindustryintegratetheseobjectivesintoenterprisestrategy?Thesematters,whichwereassessedinthesurvey,willbeexaminedinmoredetailinthisreport,butitshouldbenotedatthestartthatpartsoftheindustryaresomewhatlessconfidentregardingthesetwoquestions.Onthefirstquestion,theminingandmetalsindustryasawholeisconfidentitcanreconcilerapidoutputgrowthwithsustainabilitygoals.Theratioofoptimiststopessimistsis10to1.Butthereisalowerratioamongproducersofmaterialscriticaltoanet-zerofuture.Theseincludesuppliersofchromium,cobalt,copper,lithium,manganese,nickel,siliconandrareearths.InsearchofgreenstrategiesHowconfidentareyouthatthemetalsandminingindustrycanmeetgrowingglobaldemandwithoutcompromisingitsownESGandnet-zeroobjectives?Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook8©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Amajorityofthemarealsoconfidentofgrowingfastina‘green’way,buttheratioisnarrower:6to1.Onthesecondquestion,34percentsaytheircompanyhasonlyjustbeguntointegrateitsESGandnet-zeroobjectivesintoalong-termstrategy.Only28percenthavealreadydoneso.“Iftheyaretosucceedinreconcilingambitiousgrowthtargetswithstringentcarbonreductionobjectives,miningandmetalscompanieswillhavetodesigntheiroperatingmodeltoaccommodatebothobjectives.Achievingnet-zerocarbonemissionsby2040or2050mayseemalongwayoff,buttheresearchanddevelopmenteffort,theleadtimesandcapitalrequiredmeansthatcompaniesmustnowbeginintegratingthemintoenterprisestrategy,”saysTrevorHart,GlobalMiningLeader,KPMGInternational.WhatarethekeyfactorsaffectingyourlevelofconfidencethatthemetalsandminingindustrycanmeetgrowingglobaldemandwithoutcompromisingitsownESGandnet-zeroobjectives?OurESGandnet-zeroobjectivestakefullyintoaccountourcompany’sforecastsofthefuturegrowthinsupply45%MycompanyhasdeliberatelysetESGandnet-zeroobjectivesthatarelessstringentthanourpeerssothatwewon’thavetocompromiseonhittingproductiontargets41%MycompanyhasonlyjustbeguntointegrateitsESGandnet-zeroobjectivesintothelong-termenterprisestrategy34%MycompanyhasintegrateditsESGandnet-zeroobjectivesintolong-termenterprisestrategy28%ItisdifficulttomeasuretheprogressmycompanyismakingtowardsESGandnet-zerotargets26%MycompanylacksthelaborandmoneytoimplementESGandnet-zerogoals9%Wearenotusingappropriatetechnologicaltoolstoreachourgoals4%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook9©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Abig©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Anoverwhelmingmajorityofexecutivesareconfidentinthegrowthprospectsfortheircompanyandtheindustryasawhole,accordingtothesurvey.AbigopportunityProducersofcriticalmineralsareinaparticularlysweetspot.“Withthemarketpredictingasignificantdeficitinlithiumsupplyrelativetodemandoverthenext10years,thispresentsachallengefortheworld,butamassiveopportunityforus,”saysPilbaraMinerals’DaleHenderson.“Wehaveastronglevelofconfidencethat,throughourstrategy,wecandeliverintothat,so,forus,thegameplanisprettysimple:Putthefootdownandmaximizethevalueoftheresourcesasrapidlyaswecan,“addsHenderson.Onereasonwhyminingandmetalsexecutivesareconfidentaboutthefutureisthattheyregarddecarbonizationplansasagrowthopportunity,andnotmerelyacostofdoingbusiness.Thespecificopportunityoverthenextfiveyearsistotransformthecarbonfootprintoftheiroperationsthroughtechnologyinvestments.Transformingthecost-efficiencyofoperationsthroughtechnologyinvestmentscomesaclosesecond(43percentto41percent).Morethanathirdplantotransformtheiroperationsbymeansofacquisitionsanddivestments.Pleaseindicateyourlevelofconfidenceintermsofgrowthprospectsoverthenexttwoyears.Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook11©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Whatdoyouregardasyourcompany’sbiggestbusinessopportunitiesoverthenextfiveyears?Transformthecarbonfootprintofouroperationsthroughtechnologyinvestments43%Transformthecost-efficiencyofouroperationsthroughtechnologyinvestments41%Transformouroperationsbymeansofacquisitionsanddivestments36%Accessnewcustomersandmarkets28%Significantlychangethegeographicallocationofouroperatingassets23%Drasticallyreduceourcoststhroughenhancingproductivityinitiatives12%Significantlychangeourcompany’sportfolioofproductstowardcommodities&metals(suchascopperandlithium)usedtoacceleratethetransitiontocleanerenergysources9%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults“Fundamentally,reconcilinggreengoalsandfastgrowthisnotatrade-off,it’sawin-winsituation,”saysAmitBarghava,Partner,BusinessConsulting,MiningandMetalsLead,KPMGinIndia.“Ifacompanyoptimizesitsprocesses,itcanreducefossilfuelsandit’saclearESGdriver.CriticalstrategicdecisionssuchascapitalexpansionoroperationalremodelinghavetohaveanESGdimension.Weseethat,intermsofpositioninginthesector,companiesthatareESGleaderswillbethewinnersinthefuture.”2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook12©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Freedomfrom©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Thesurveyshowsthatimprovingenergyconsumptionefficiencyisthehighestpriorityfortacklingtheenvironmentaleffectsofminingandmetalprocessing(41percent).Itisseenastwiceasimportantasimprovingwaterandwastemanagement.“Whenyouconsiderthatrenewableenergyissocost-competitiveinmostpartsoftheworld,thereisaveryclearpathwaytoachievezeroScope2emissions[fromsuppliersofenergy]soonforthosewhoaren’talreadythereyet,”saysDhawan.Scope1(direct,greenhousegas)emissionsaremorechallengingbecausethemaincontributortominingemissionsisdiesel.Thereareabout28,000trucksinminingoperationsgloballyandthevastmajorityrunondiesel.“Wearestartingtogetmuchbetteravailabilityofzero-emissionmine-haultrucks,usingacombinationofbatteriesandhydrogentechnology,”Dhawansays.Therapidprogressminingcompaniesarealreadymakingtoreducecarbonemissionsisencouragingthemtoinvestmoreineffortstodecarbonize.FreedomfromcarbonWhichdoyouconsiderthehighestprioritiesfortacklingtheenvironmentalimpactofmineralandmetalprocessing?Curbingcarbonemissionsthroughimprovementsintheefficiencyofcurrenttypesofenergyconsumption41%Exploringalternativelow-emissiontechnologies(suchasclosed-loopcarbonrecyclingforsteel)36%Solutionstodecarbonizefleetandlogistics33%Curbingcarbonemissionsbyswitchingtolowercarbonfuels(suchashydrogenforsteelproduction)30%Loweringtheenvironmentalimpactofminingtechniques29%Improvingwastemanagement21%Improvingwatermanagement16%Rehabilitatingareaswhereminesandmetalprocessingplantshaveclosed9%Shuttingdownillegalmining5%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook14©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Themakersoftrucksandtheminingindustryhavecollaboratedtospeeduptheshift,soby2027,“Weshouldhavezero-emissionvehiclesavailableatscale.ItshowsthepowerofbringingthewholeindustrytogetherwiththetruckOEMstosolvethechallenge,”addsDhawan.WithregardtoScope3emissions,elsewhereinthevaluechain,athirdofexecutivessaytheircompanyplanstoeliminatethemby2040andanother39percentbelieveitwillbedoneby2050.Forbulkcommodities,suchasironore,metallurgicalcoalandthermalcoal,Scope3representstheoverwhelmingmajorityofthetotalclimateimpactofthecommodity.Inthecaseofironore,itcanbeupto90percent,buttheprospectsarebright.“I’mreallyencouragedthatleadingminingcompaniesarestartingtoseeScope3asanopportunity,aswellasarisk,”Dhawansays.“We’removingtoaworldinwhichweareinterestedintheendproduct.I,astheminer,haveacommonresponsibilitywithyouasthesteelmaker,butourresponsibilitiesaredifferentiatedbythefactthatyou’reinchargeofthetechnologythatyouuseandI’minchargeoftheproductIsupplyyouwith.We’rebothbetteroffifwefindawaytotakecarbonoutoftheproductionprocess,”addsDhawan.Oneminingcompany,forexampleisdevelopinganewproduct,ironorebriquettes,thatreducestheneedforsintering,thussavingupto10percentofemissionsfromsteelproduction.Othersaresupplyinghigherqualitysteelmakingcoalthatleadstoasmuchasa30percentreductionofcarbonintensity.Manymetalscompaniesareasconfidentasminingcompaniesaboutthespeedofprogress.SaurabhBhatnagar,PartnerIndustry4.0andInnovation,KPMGinIndia,citesfourfactors:•Fastimprovementsintechnologiestominimizeandsequestercarbonemissions.•Increaseduseofhydrogeninmakingsteel,especiallyinWesternEuropeandChina.•Rapidlygrowingavailabilityofrenewableenergysources.•Governmentincentivestocollectandreprocessmetalscrap,which,naturally,doesnotdependonoxidizationtobeprocessed.BhargavapointsoutthatthechallengetomeetScope3emissionstargetsformetalscompaniesissimilartowhatitwouldbeforaconsumergoodsmanufacturerorachemicalscompany.But–unlikeamakerofhouseholddetergentthatisreliantonplasticcontainersorcardboardboxes–steel,copper,andaluminumwillremainrecyclableindefinitely.“Mostfirmsthatareunderpressuretobenetzeroareonajourneyof‘learn–understand–internalize–plan–experiment’tofindnewwaysofgettingtonetzero,”saysBarghava.InIndia,theworld’ssecondlargeststeelproducer,producersareataveryearlystageoflearning.“Whenfirmsintegrate,theymusttakeashort-termandalong-termview.Theywillstartbyinvestinginareaswherethegainsarequickandeasy.InEurope,theyareabitfurtherahead,buttheyarestilldoingitincrementally.Manyarenotsureastowhattheirstrategyshouldbe,sincenetzeroisstill30yearsaway.”Minersofcriticalminerals,suchasrareearths,arebalancingdecarbonizationandrapidoutputgrowth.“Weseethatourcoreroleintheglobalpushtodecarbonizeistofacilitateothers’drivetonetzerothroughtheproductionofrareearths,”saysTomO’LearyofIlukaResources.“Wearecontinuingtoapplyresearchanddevelopmentmoneytorefineandmetalizecriticalmineralsinwaysthataremostattractivefromacarbonperspective,butmanyofthoseprocessescannotbedoneinazero-carbonwayatthemoment,”O’Learysays.“Australia’sobjectiveofdecarbonizationisasoundone,notjustfromajobsanddevelopmentperspective,butfromadiversificationofsupplychainandenvironmentalperspective,toseethosemineralsprocessedinamannerthatmeetshighWesternstandardsofenvironmentaloutcomesandESGmoregenerally,”O’Learysays.2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook15©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Afocuson©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Whileminingandmetalscompaniesinvestheavilyinreducingtheircarbonfootprint,theyarealsofocusingonESGgoals.ThewayforwardRohiteshDhawanistheChiefExecutiveOfficeroftheInternationalCouncilonMining&Metals(ICMM),whosememberscompriseathirdoftheglobalindustry.KPMGInternationalinterviewedDhawantoaskabouttheprogresswhichICMMhasmadeinimplementingitsminingprinciples,includingzeroharm,naturepreservationandrestoration,alongsidenet-zerocarbonemissions.Hesaidthattheminingandmetalsindustrysimplyhasnotmadesufficientprogressintheareaofzeroharm.“In2021alone,43ofourcolleaguesinICMMmembercompanieswenttoworkanddidnotcomehome.Thatisastainonourcollectiveconscience.Wesimplyhavetodobetter.”Intheareaofcarbonemissions,progresshasbeenimpressive.“Whenyouconsiderthatrenewableenergyiscost-competitive,thereisaclearpathwaytoachievezeroscopeemissionsforcompanieswhoaren’talreadythereyet,”hesays.“Wearestartingtoachievebetteravailabilityofzero-emissionmine-haultrucks,usingacombinationofbatteryandhydrogentechnology.”Themakersoftrucksandtheminingindustryhavecollaboratedtospeeduptheshiftby2027:“Weshouldhavezero-emissionvehiclesavailableatscale,”hesays.Miningfirmsaretacklingmanyoftheenvironmentalimpactsoftheiroperations.TheICMM,forexample,hasbeenworkingwiththeUNandthePrinciplesforResponsibleInvestment,guidedbyanindependentexpertpanel,todevelopaglobalstandardformanagingtailingssafely.ICMM’sDhawanhasbeenpushingfortheindustry“toengendergreatertrustasaresponsiblecontributoronallthingsrelatedtosustainability.We’reinthisstrangeworldwherewe’veneverhadgreaterdemandformetalsandminerals,butit’sneverbeenhardertoopennewmines.”TheICMM’sdiscussionswiththeUNandthePrinciplesforResponsibleInvestmenthavebeenchallenging.“Theprocessofnegotiationwasinfinitelymorecomplexthaniftheindustryhaddoneitonitsown,butitalsomadeitsignificantlymoretrusted,”Dhawansays.TheICMM’sgoalis“toengendergreatertrustintheminingindustryinbeingresponsibleonsustainability,notjustclimate.Oncetheindustryhasgainedthetrustofstakeholders”,hecomments,“theultimateoutcomeisthattheworldgetsthemetalsandmineralsthatitneeds,andthosematerialsaresuppliedinthemostresponsiblewaypossible.”Atthesametime,theindustryisfocusingmuchattentionontheletter‘S’inthethree-letteracronym.“ESGgoalsarebecomingmoreofafundamentallypeople-drivenagenda,”observesBhargavaofKPMGInternational’sfocusonthese,particularlyregardingstakeholderssuchasemployeesandlocalcommunities.ExecutivesinthesurveyAfocusonESGgoalsconsiderthatthehighestpriorityfortacklingthesocialimpactofminingandmetalsprocessingistoprovideworkerswithhealthcare,paidleaveandretirementbenefits.Thefocusonpeopleextendstowardthecommunitiesthatsurroundtheminesandmetalsfactories.“Ourpriorityistocontinuetoensurethatwemaintainstronglocalconnectionswhereverwe’reoperatingandensurethatwearemeetingtheobjectivesofourlocalstakeholders,”saysO’LearyofIluka.Offeringnon-salarybenefitsisseenbyexecutivesasanimportantwayofattractingandretainingworkers.“Themostpracticalchallengeforusislaborshortages,”saysHendersonofPilbaraMinerals.“We’renotaloneinthisregard.Theindustryisthriving,sothere’snoshortageofjobsandopportunitiesforpeople,particularlythosewhoareskilledandhappytoworkonaremotesite.2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook17©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Whichdoyouconsiderthehighestprioritiesfortacklingthesocialimpactofthedevelopmentofmineralandmetalsprocessing?Providingnon-salarybenefitssuchashealthcarebenefits,paidleaveandpensions44%Improvingworkersafety33%Payingalivingwage32%Preventingallformsofharassmentoftheworkforce(eg,bullying,sexualharassment,etc)29%Preventinghumanrightsabusesandmodernformsofslavery27%Toleratingorencouragingtheunionizationoftheworkforce26%Workingcloselywithlocalcommunitiestominimizethenegativesocialimpactandmaximizethesocialbenefits24%Preventingcorruptpractices17%Workingwithlocalcommunitiestomaximizethesocialbenefits(eg,fundingschools,communitycenters,etc)10%Positivetraditionalownerarrangements,suchasindigenousco-ownership9%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResultsBut,inourview,it’ssolvableandourcompanyhasdoneprettywellthroughacompetitiveofferingandthatlithium‘glow’.Beinginthelithiumindustryisarealstrength.Someoftheyoungergenerationareabitmorealtruisticintheiroutlook.Thelithiumindustryisfuture-facing,andithelpsbeingontherightsideofthiscarbon-reductionpush,”addsHenderson.Somebelievethatminingandmetalscompaniesneedtopaygreaterheedtocitizensatlarge,notjustlocalcommunities.“Thegeneralpublichasbecomeaverysignificantforceinpersuadingcompaniestotakeamoreresponsibleapproachtotheenvironment,”saysBhargavaofKPMGinIndia.“InIndiawhenyousetupanewsteelplant,thecommunitieshavetobepartneredandassuredtherewillbenodeteriorationinair,water,andsoil.Thistrendwillbecomemorepronouncedbecausetheyoungergenerationseemstobemoreawareandpassionateabouttheprotectionoftheenvironment,”addsBhargava.HendersonofPilbaraMineralsisawareoftheissue.“Ithinkminingisequatedasbeing‘oldschool’,mayberepresentingsomeoftheoldbiases,”hesays.“However,withthestrongshifttowardsmoresustainablepracticesandtheinnovationintheindustry,wearemakingprogress,butIthinkthere’salwaysmoreworktobedone.”2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook18©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Leaders©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.LeadersneededThesurveyshowsthatamongthemosteffectivemeasurestohelpcompaniesmeettheirESGobjectivesistoensurethattheCEOandtheboardofdirectorsarecommittedtothesegoals,andthattheyhaveappropriategovernancestructuresthatenabletherealizationoftheseobjectives.“Corporateleadershavethemandateandtheresponsibilitytoaligntheirstrategywithkeystakeholders,includinggovernments,customers,technologyprovidersandsuppliersandcompaniesintheirecosystem,”saysBhargavaofKPMGinIndia.“Thisiscriticalandrequiresaveryclearroadmap.TheyalsoneedtostructureexecutiveandemployeeincentivessothattheyalignwithESGinitiatives.”ThereisanotheraspectofthehumanelementwithinESG,namelytheimportanceofcapableleadership.Inaddition,hesays,theyneedtotaketheleadinbuildingthecompany’scapabilities.“ThereisgoingtobeatalentwarinshapingandexecutingESGagendas,”hepredicts.Ifdecarbonizationistobeintegratedintoenterprisestrategy,itwillrequirethefullsupportoftheleadership.Executivesinthesurveysaythemosteffectivewaystomeetnet-zeroobjectivesarebothtoensurethatcorporateleadersarecommittedtonet-zeroobjectivesandtocommunicateclearlyandfullytostakeholdersabouttheprogresstomeetthem.Thoseoutsidetheindustryneedtounderstandthenewrelevanceandstrategicimportanceofminingandmetalscompaniestotheglobaleconomy.“Providedtheindustrycontinuestoengagecandidlywithourstakeholdersandindustryparticipantsanddosotruthfullyandpragmatically,then,asweadvancefurtherthroughthisprocessofelectrification,it’sgoingtobecomemoreandmoreevidentforstakeholdersandthepublicthenecessityofcertaincriticalminerals,”saysO’Leary.Whichofthefollowingmeasureswillbemosteffectiveinhelpingyourcompanytomeetitsnet-zeroobjectives?Ensureourcompanycommunicatesclearlyandfullytoourstakeholdersaboutournet-zeroobjectiveandourprogresstomeetit46%EnsurethattheCEOandtheBoardofDirectorsarecommittedtoournet-zeroobjective45%Ensurewehavetherightmetricstomeasureprogressinmeetingournet-zeroobjective37%Developastrategytoinvestinnewtechnologiesthatwilldirectlyleadtowardournet-zeroobjective31%Ensureournet-zeroobjectivesareintegratedintotheoverallcorporatestrategy26%Hirenewpersonnelwiththeskillstoimplementourcompany’snet-zerostrategy6%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook20©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Theimportanceof©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Amaindriverofthechangesthatcharacterizethisnewphaseoftheminingandmetalsindustryhasbeentheintroductionofnewtechnologiesandinnovations.Technologicalchangesareseenasthemostimportantfactoraffectingexecutives’five-yeardemandprojections.Technologiesareemphasizedsomewhatlessregardingsupplyprojections.Forminingcompanies,advancesinexplorationandextractiontechnology,AI,5Gnetworks,andIoTarethetechnologiesthatwillhavethemostimpactonmineralsupplies.Theimportanceoftechnology²HowisDigitalizationTransformingtheFaceofMiningIndustry?TechSciResearch,May2022³“CarbonBorderAdjustmentMechanism,”TaxationandCustomsUnion,EuropeanCommission,December2022Whatarethemostimportantfactorsaffectingyourcompany’srangeofdemandprojectionsoverthenextfiveyearsTechnologicalchanges54%Governmentpolicies49%Customerpreferencesand/orsentiment31%Energytransition24%Recyclingpractices22%Geopoliticalchallenges13%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResultsApartfromzero-emissionmine-haultrucks,miningcompaniesaredeployingtechnologiessuchasunmannedaerialvehiclestomonitorassets;wirelesssensortechnologiestotrackprocessesandminesafety;andprivate5Gnetworkstohelpconductpreventativemaintenance.²Formetalscompanies,AIanddataanalyticsarelikelytohavethebiggestimpact,thesurveysays.“Weneedtodemystifythetechnologybybreakingitdownintofourtypes,”saysKPMGinIndia’sBhargava:1.Digitaltechnologiestoensureproductionprocessesachievethebestpossibleoutcome.2.Circulartechnologiestoextractmetalsfromwaste(Bhargavaisadvisingalargemetalscompanywhichiscollaboratingwithupto25technologypartnersaroundtheworld).3.Carbon-capturetechnologies.4.Disruptivetechnologiessuchashydrogenthateitherreduceorobviatetheneedforcarbon.Bhatnagaraddsafifth:applyingtechnologytousetheenergyinoff-gasesmoreefficiently,whichisespeciallyimportantinIndia.Bhatnagarsays,“Itisalmostimpossibletoopenanewsteelfactorymakingmetalsusingtraditionaltechnologies.Theonlywaytoobtainalicensetooperateisifacompanycanprovethatthefactorywillhaveasignificantlysmallercarbonfootprintoritisproducingmaterialsthatarecriticaltonationalsecurity,suchasrareearthsandlithium.”2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook22©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Europeanmetalscompaniesfaceadifferentchallenge.InDecember2022,EUministersfinalizedacarbonborderadjustmentmechanism.Thistooktheformofataxdesignedtoensurethatcarbon-intensiveindustriessuchassteel,whichmustcomplywithstrictemissionsstandards,arenotunderminedbycompetitorsfromoutsidetheEUthathaveweakeremissionsrules.³“TheEUaimstocreatealevelplayingfieldformetalmanufacturers,particularlyconcerningtheirenvironmentalfootprint,whichwilllikelyinfluencethecompetitivemarketdynamicsinEurope.Asmarketparticipantsworldwideprogresstowardtheirnet-zerogoals,theymustindividuallyandcollectivelyconsidertheseshiftingdynamicsandadaptaccordingly,”saysUgoPlatania,GlobalMetalsLeader,KPMGInternational.MarkusZeimes,HeadofMetals,KPMGinGermany,saystherewillbemassivetechnologicalchangesamongtheEuropeansteelcompaniesoverthenextfewyearsastheyreducetheircarbonemissions.ThelargestsuchfirminGermanyisaimingtousehydrogen-baseddirectreductiontoremovetheoxygenfromironore.“TheGermansteelindustryisheavilyinvestinginnewtechnologiestobecomegreener.Producingsteelbasedontheuseofhydrogenisonewaytodoso,”Zeimessays.“Theenergyrequirementsofnewtechnologiesareimmense.Costandavailabilityofrenewableenergy,therefore,arecrucialforasuccessfulconversionofthesteelindustrytoapproachzerocarbonemissions.Wecurrentlyseethatstrategicpartnershipssecuringfuturehydrogenandenergydemandaregainingmoreimportance.”Whichtwotechnologiesarelikelytohavethemostimpactonincreasingmineralsuppliesoverthenextfiveyears?5Gnetworks26%InternetofThings24%Advancesinexplorationtechniquesandtechnology24%Newextractiontechnologies24%Artificialintelligence23%Dataanalytics22%Advancesinexplorationtechnology19%Autonomousmining16%Technologiesthatenhancerecoveryfromminewasteandlow-gradeores8%Betterorepre-treatment7%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook23©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Whichtwotechnologiesarelikelytohavethemostimpactonincreasingmetalsuppliesoverthenextfiveyears?Artificialintelligence48%Dataanalytics42%5Gnetworks31%Technologiesthatenhancerecoveryfromrecycledmaterials21%InternetofThings18%Autonomoussteelproduction(suchasautonomousvehicles)17%Satelliteimaging15%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResultsWhatarethemostimportantfactorsaffectingyourcompany’srangeofsupplyprojectionsoverthenextfiveyears?Governmentpolicies55%Customerpreferences44%Technologicalchanges42%Recyclingpractices31%Geopoliticalchallenges18%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook24©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Raisingthe©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.RaisingthebarToughergovernmentscrutinyofESGandnet-zeroperformanceisregardedbyexecutivesinthesurveyasthebiggestrisktooperationsinthenextfiveyears.Almosthalf(48percent)sayso.Bycontrast,onlyaquartersayclimateriskisverysignificant.Thecarbonborderadjustmentmechanismhighlightstheimportantroleplayedbygovernmentsinmovingtowardacarbon-freefuture.Whatarethemostsignificantrisksyouexpectforyourcompany’soperationsinthenextfiveyears?ToughergovernmentregulatoryscrutinyorcomplianceburdenofESGandnet-zeroperformance48%Decliningresourcequality35%Risingoperatingcosts29%Highgeographicalconcentrationofproduction29%Longprojectdevelopmentleadtimes29%TougherinvestorscrutinyofESGandnet-zeroperformance25%Higherexposuretoclimaterisks,suchaswaterstressorextremeweatherevents24%Politicalinstability/nationalizationinahostcountry19%Tradewar8%Inabilitytoraisecapitalfunds3%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook26©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.BhatnagarofKPMGinIndiapointsoutthough,thatasofnow,therearelong-termnet-zerogoals,notcompliancerequirements.“Inthenextfiveyears,governmentsinkeycountrieswillseektounderstandandobservethevisiblestepsbeingtakenbyminingandmetalscompaniestoshowtheircommitmenttonet-zerogoalsby2050inEuropeandby2070inIndia.”Inresponse,saysBhargava,“Thisisaperfecttimeforcompaniestostarttoworkonmeasuringandverifyingemissionsasaccuratelyaspossible.Toprepareforthecarbonborderadjustmentmechanism,theyshouldstartcarryingdocumentsshowingthecarboncontentoftheirmetals.”Thesurveyshowsthatgovernmentpoliciesarethebiggestfactoraffectingsupplyprojectionsandthattheimprovedqualityandavailabilityofnationalgeologicalsurveysanddataisseenasthemostimportantgovernmentmeasureforensuringasmoothmineralssupplyoverthenextfewyears.InthecaseofIluka,thecompanyreceivedaA$1.25billionnon-recourseloanfromtheAustralianFederalGovernmentforthedevelopmentofthecountry’sfirstintegratedrare-earthmetalsrefineryinWesternAustralia.“TheobjectiveofthegovernmentwasnotmerelytoenableIlukatoprocessourowndepositsofrareearths,itwasreallytoenablethedevelopmentofarareearthsindustryinAustraliaandthatobjectiveisbeingachieved.ThegovernmentwasfacilitatingthediversificationofthesupplychainforrareearthsfromthecurrentconcentrationinChina,”saysO’Leary.Whichisthemostimportantofthefollowinggovernmentmeasuresforensuringsmoothmineralssupply?Improvedqualityandavailabilityofnationalgeologicalsurveysanddata62%Streamlinedpermittingprocedures44%Clear,stablepolicies(includingtaxes)topromoteresponsibleminingandmetalmanufacture41%Financingsupporttode-riskprojects31%Raisepublicawarenessofthecontributionssuchprojectsplayintheenergytransition10%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook27©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Geographical©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.Geographicaljigsaw“Thecostofcarbonintensitywill,infuture,bebakedintoinvestmentdecisionsandwillchangethecostdynamics,”observesBhatnagar.“Tobefuture-ready,somesteelproducerswilltrytodiversifytotheMiddleEastwherethereareplentifulsuppliesofnaturalgasandthenmovetohydrogen-baseddirect-reductionsteelfurnaces.”Thesesentimentsareborneoutbythesurvey.Almostaquarter(24percent)areplanningtoincreasetheirgeographicalfootprintsignificantlyandafurther41percentplantodosobyasmallamount.Thedrivetodecarbonizeisredrawingthemapoftheminingandmetalsindustry.ThereisalsothequestionoftheimpactofUS–Chinarivalryonsupplychains,particularlyofcriticalminerals.“Thegeopoliticalpieceisdefinitelyontheradar,”saysPilbaraMinerals’Henderson.“Atthebusiness-to-businesslevel,wedon’thaveanycauseforconcern.It’salwaysbeenahealthyrelationship,butofcoursewewatchthegeopoliticalutteringsbetweentheUSandChina.Idon’tforeseeChinamakinganydetrimentalmovetoincreasethedistancebetweenAustraliaandChina,inrespectiveofrawmaterials,particularlywithinthelithiumsupplychain,becauseitwouldhurtthemmassively.TheirindustriesareverydependentonAustralia,andwehaveaveryco-dependentrelationship.”Hendersonadds,“Wearethinkingaboutstrategiestomanagethegeopoliticaldimension.Fromtheinceptionofthebusiness,wehaveastrategyofbeingdiversified,becauseitmakesbusinesssense.”PilbarahasmadeonediversificationmovebyformingajointventurewithKoreansteelmakerPOSCOtodevelopalithiumhydroxideconversionfacilityinSouthKorea.“We’rebalancingthefactthatthewholelithiumindustryprettymuchlookstoChinafortheprocessingofrawmaterials,sowecan’tseverthattie,nordowewantto.Wecontinuetodiversifyintoothermarkets,althoughwecan’tpivotelsewheretooquickly,”saysHenderson.Hendersonadds,“Theexpansionsweareexecutingwilldeliveraconsiderablestep-upfromcurrentproductionlevelsandenableustofurtherintegratedownthesupplychain.Thecombinationofourscale,downstreamintegrationandinnovationeffortswillfurthersupportourobjectivetobealeaderinsustainablebatterymaterials.”Overthenextfiveyearsareyouplanningtoincreasethenumberofcountriesinwhichyouoperateorexploreinor,inthecaseofmetalscompanies,buythemineralsfrom?Yes,byasmallamount41%Yes,byasignificantamount24%Wedonotplananyincrease26%No,weplantodecreasethenumberofcountries9%Source:KPMGInternational2023GlobalMining&MetalsOutlook-SurveyResults2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook29©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.ConclusionAllstakeholderswanttobuildaglobaleconomythatismoresustainable,butthequestionremains:Aretheywillingtomakethesacrificesneededtoachieveanet-zerofuture?Thesurveyandinterviewsshowexecutivesaretremendouslyconfidentofthefuture,butmanyoutsidetheindustryareskeptical.Factualevidenceandrigorousresearchareessentialforsuccess.Ultimately,thisoptimalblendmustleadtomoreeffectivedecision-making.Executivesfacethedifficulttaskofaligningtheinterestsofgovernments,thepublic,theirworkersandinvestorstotaketheminingandmetalsindustrywhereitneedstogo,whileensuringthebusinessisfinanciallysustainable.Theworldwillnotachieveanet-zerocarbonstateunlesscompaniescanmakeareturnindoingso.Thissurveyandreportanalyzeoneofthegreatestconundrumsfacingglobalbusiness:howtopivotrapidlytowardcarbon-freesolutionswithoutharmingtheenvironment,while,atthesametime,developingastrategythatalignstheinterestsofshareholders,workers,communities,consumersandgovernments.©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.302023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlookSurveydemographicsInMarch2023,onbehalfofKPMGInternational,VantageResearchconductedanonlinesurveyof434miningandmetalsexecutives,allofwhomareintheC-suiteorareboardmembers.Forty-twopercentareintheAmericas(Canada13percentandtheUS10percent),30percentareinAPAC(16percentinAustralia)and27percentinEMEA.Mostoftheminingandmetalscompaniesarelarge:36percenthaveannualrevenuesofUS$1billiontoUS$10billionand33percentareintheUS$11billiontoUS$25billionrange.Toassesstheirproductbreakdown,thesurveyaskedexecutivestochoosefromalistof20mineralsandmetals.Theresultswerewidelydistributedamongthecommodities,with33percentselectingcopper,20percentaluminumand18percentsteel.ThereisasimilarlywidedistributionofjobfunctionsintheC-suite,with31percentingeneralmanagementand29percentresponsibleforthesupplychain.Twenty-eightpercentarechieffinancialofficersand20percentarechiefexecutiveofficers.434Miningandmetalsexecutives,allofwhomareintheC-suiteorareboardmembers42%TheAmericas(Canada13percentandtheU.S.A10percent)30%APAC(16percentinAustralia)27%InEMEAAnnualrevenuesofUS$1billiontoUS$10billionAnnualrevenuesofUS$11billiontoUS$25billion36%33%Mostoftheminingandmetalscompaniesarelarge:33%Copper20%Aluminum18%SteelChosenmineralsbyexecutivesC-suitejobfunctions31%Generalmanagement(incHeadsof)29%Supplychain28%Chieffinancialofficers20%Chiefexecutiveofficers2023GlobalMiningandMetalsOutlook31©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.ContactusTrevorHartGlobalHeadofMining,KPMGInternationalthart@kpmg.com.auNickHarridgeMining&MetalsLead,KPMGAustralianharridge@kpmg.com.auHeatherCheesemanMiningLead,KPMGinCanadahcheeseman@kpmg.caNiladriBhattacharjeeMiningLead,KPMGinIndianiladri@kpmg.comPatrickChuMiningLead,KPMGChinapatrick.chu@kpmg.comKashmiraBhanaMiningLead,KPMGinSouthAfricakashmira.bhana@kpmg.co.zaBernardoMoreiraMiningLead,KPMGinBrazilbmoreira@kpmg.com.brVicNaathenMining&MetalsLeadKPMGintheUKVictor.Naathen@KPMG.co.ukUgoPlataniaGlobalHeadofMetals,KPMGInternationalugo.platania@kpmg.luMarcusZeimesMetalsLead,KPMGinGermanymzeimes@kpmg.comAmitBhargavaMetalsLead,KPMGinIndiamitbhargava@kpmg.comFredVonEckardsteinMetalsLead,KPMGinSouthAfricafred.voneckardstein@kpmg.co.saNorbertMeyringMetalsLead,KPMGChinanorbert@meyring@kpmg.comEricLoganMetalsLead,KPMGinUSericlogan@kpmg.comEduardoAlgadoMetalsLead,KPMGinMexicosalgado.eduardo@kpmg.com.auHervéMicheletMetalsLeadKPMGinFrancehmichelet@kpmg.frMarkDavisDirector-BusinessDevelopment,KPMGAustraliamarkdavis@kpmg.com.auKPMG.com/miningKPMG.com/metalsTheviewsandopinionsofexternalcontributorsexpressedhereinarethoseoftheintervieweesanddonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviewsandopinionsofKPMGInternationalLimitedoranyKPMGmemberfirm.KPMGInternationalLimitedisaprivateEnglishcompanylimitedbyguaranteeanddoesnotprovideservicestoclients.NomemberfirmhasanyauthoritytoobligateorbindKPMGInternationaloranyothermemberfirmvis-à-visthirdparties,nordoesKPMGInternationalhaveanysuchauthoritytoobligateorbindanymemberfirm.Theinformationcontainedhereinisofageneralnatureandisnotintendedtoaddressthecircumstancesofanyparticularindividualorentity.Althoughweendeavortoprovideaccurateandtimelyinformation,therecanbenoguaranteethatsuchinformationisaccurateasofthedateitisreceivedorthatitwillcontinuetobeaccurateinthefuture.Nooneshouldactonsuchinformationwithoutappropriateprofessionaladviceafterathoroughexaminationoftheparticularsituation.©2023CopyrightownedbyoneormoreoftheKPMGInternationalentities.KPMGInternationalentitiesprovidenoservicestoclients.Allrightsreserved.KPMGreferstotheglobalorganizationortooneormoreofthememberfirmsofKPMGInternationalLimited(“KPMGInternational”),eachofwhichisaseparatelegalentity.KPMGInternationalLimitedisaprivateEnglishcompanylimitedbyguaranteeanddoesnotprovideservicestoclients.Formoredetailaboutourstructurepleasevisitkpmg.com/governance.TheKPMGnameandlogoaretrademarksusedunderlicensebytheindependentmemberfirmsoftheKPMGglobalorganization.May2023.1062228705EMP

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