20230302 IEA CO2Emissionsin2022VIP专享VIP免费

CO2 Emissions
in 2022
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INTERNATIONAL ENERGY
AGENCY
CO2 Emissions in 2022 Growth in emissions lower than feared
PAGE | 3
IEA. CC BY 4.0.
Key messages
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 0.9% or 321 Mt in 2022,
reaching a new high of over 36.8 Gt. Following two years of exceptional
oscillations in energy use and emissions, caused in part by the Covid-19
pandemic, last year’s growth was much slower than 2021’s rebound of more
than 6%. Emissions from energy combustion increased by 423 Mt, while
emissions from industrial processes decreased by 102 Mt.
In a year marked by energy price shocks, rising inflation, and disruptions to
traditional fuel trade flows, global growth in emissions was lower than
feared, despite gas-to-coal switching in many countries. Increased deployment
of clean energy technologies such as renewables, electric vehicles, and heat
pumps helped prevent an additional 550 Mt in CO2 emissions. Industrial
production curtailment, particularly in China and Europe, also averted
additional emissions.
Specific challenges in 2022 contributed to the growth in emissions. Of the
321 Mt CO2 increase, 60 Mt CO2 can be attributed to cooling and heating
demand in extreme weather and another 55 Mt CO2 to nuclear power plants
being offline.
CO2 growth in 2022 was well below global GDP growth of 3.2%, reverting
to a decade-long trend of decoupling emissions and economic growth that was
broken by 2021’s sharp rebound in emissions. Improvements in the CO2
intensity of energy use were slightly slower than the past decade’s average.
Emissions from natural gas fell by 1.6% or 118 Mt, following continued
tightening of supply exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Reductions
in emissions from gas were particularly pronounced in Europe (-13.5%). The
Asia Pacific region also saw unprecedented reductions (-1.8%).
Increased emissions from coal more than offset reductions from natural
gas. Amid a wave of gas-to-coal switching during the global energy crisis, CO2
emissions from coal grew by 1.6% or 243 Mt, far exceeding the last decade’s
average growth rate, and reaching a new all-time high of almost 15.5 Gt.
Emissions from oil grew even more than emissions from coal, rising by
2.5% or 268 Mt to 11.2 Gt. Around half of the increase came from aviation, as
air travel continued to rebound from pandemic lows, nearing 80% of 2019
levels. Tempering this increase, electric vehicles continued to gain momentum
in 2022, with over 10 million cars sold, exceeding 14% of global car sales.
The biggest sectoral increase in emissions in 2022 came from electricity
and heat generation, whose emissions were up by 1.8% or 261 Mt. In
particular, global emissions from coal-fired electricity and heat generation grew
by 224 Mt or 2.1%, led by emerging economies in Asia.
A strong expansion of renewables limited the rebound in coal power
emissions. Renewables met 90% of last year’s global growth in electricity
CO2Emissionsin2022TheIEAexaminesthefullspectrumofenergyissuesincludingoil,gasandcoalsupplyanddemand,renewableenergytechnologies,electricitymarkets,energyefficiency,accesstoenergy,demandsidemanagementandmuchmore.Throughitswork,theIEAadvocatespoliciesthatwillenhancethereliability,affordabilityandsustainabilityofenergyinits31membercountries,11associationcountriesandbeyond.Thispublicationandanymapincludedhereinarewithoutprejudicetothestatusoforsovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundariesandtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea.Source:IEA.InternationalEnergyAgencyWebsite:www.iea.orgIEAmembercountries:AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaCzechRepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLithuaniaLuxembourgMexicoNetherlandsNewZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSlovakRepublicSpainSwedenSwitzerlandRepublicofTürkiyeUnitedKingdomUnitedStatesTheEuropeanCommissionalsoparticipatesintheworkoftheIEAIEAassociationcountries:ArgentinaBrazilChinaEgyptIndiaIndonesiaMoroccoSingaporeSouthAfricaThailandUkraineINTERNATIONALENERGYAGENCYCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE3IEA.CCBY4.0.KeymessagesGlobalenergy-relatedCO2emissionsgrewby0.9%or321Mtin2022,reachinganewhighofover36.8Gt.Followingtwoyearsofexceptionaloscillationsinenergyuseandemissions,causedinpartbytheCovid-19pandemic,lastyear’sgrowthwasmuchslowerthan2021’sreboundofmorethan6%.Emissionsfromenergycombustionincreasedby423Mt,whileemissionsfromindustrialprocessesdecreasedby102Mt.Inayearmarkedbyenergypriceshocks,risinginflation,anddisruptionstotraditionalfueltradeflows,globalgrowthinemissionswaslowerthanfeared,despitegas-to-coalswitchinginmanycountries.Increaseddeploymentofcleanenergytechnologiessuchasrenewables,electricvehicles,andheatpumpshelpedpreventanadditional550MtinCO2emissions.Industrialproductioncurtailment,particularlyinChinaandEurope,alsoavertedadditionalemissions.Specificchallengesin2022contributedtothegrowthinemissions.Ofthe321MtCO2increase,60MtCO2canbeattributedtocoolingandheatingdemandinextremeweatherandanother55MtCO2tonuclearpowerplantsbeingoffline.CO2growthin2022waswellbelowglobalGDPgrowthof3.2%,revertingtoadecade-longtrendofdecouplingemissionsandeconomicgrowththatwasbrokenby2021’ssharpreboundinemissions.ImprovementsintheCO2intensityofenergyusewereslightlyslowerthanthepastdecade’saverage.Emissionsfromnaturalgasfellby1.6%or118Mt,followingcontinuedtighteningofsupplyexacerbatedbyRussia’sinvasionofUkraine.ReductionsinemissionsfromgaswereparticularlypronouncedinEurope(-13.5%).TheAsiaPacificregionalsosawunprecedentedreductions(-1.8%).Increasedemissionsfromcoalmorethanoffsetreductionsfromnaturalgas.Amidawaveofgas-to-coalswitchingduringtheglobalenergycrisis,CO2emissionsfromcoalgrewby1.6%or243Mt,farexceedingthelastdecade’saveragegrowthrate,andreachinganewall-timehighofalmost15.5Gt.Emissionsfromoilgrewevenmorethanemissionsfromcoal,risingby2.5%or268Mtto11.2Gt.Aroundhalfoftheincreasecamefromaviation,asairtravelcontinuedtoreboundfrompandemiclows,nearing80%of2019levels.Temperingthisincrease,electricvehiclescontinuedtogainmomentumin2022,withover10millioncarssold,exceeding14%ofglobalcarsales.Thebiggestsectoralincreaseinemissionsin2022camefromelectricityandheatgeneration,whoseemissionswereupby1.8%or261Mt.Inparticular,globalemissionsfromcoal-firedelectricityandheatgenerationgrewby224Mtor2.1%,ledbyemergingeconomiesinAsia.Astrongexpansionofrenewableslimitedthereboundincoalpoweremissions.Renewablesmet90%oflastyear’sglobalgrowthinelectricityCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE4IEA.CCBY4.0.generation.SolarPVandwindgenerationeachincreasedbyaround275TWh,anewannualrecord.Emissionsfromindustrydeclinedby1.7%to9.2Gtlastyear.Whileseveralregionssawmanufacturingcurtailments,theglobaldeclinewaslargelydrivenbya161MtCO2decreaseinChina’sindustryemissions,reflectinga10%declineincementproductionanda2%declineinsteelmaking.China’semissionswererelativelyflatin2022,decliningby23Mtor0.2%.Growingemissionsfromcombustionwereoffsetbydeclinesfromindustrialprocesses.Weakereconomicgrowth,decliningconstructionactivity,andstrictCovid-19measuresledtoreductionsinindustrialandtransportemissions.Powersectoremissionsgrowthslowedcomparedwiththeaverageofthepastdecadebutstillreached2.6%.TheEuropeanUnionsawa2.5%or70MtreductioninCO2emissionsdespiteoilandgasmarketdisruptions,hydroshortfallsduetodrought,andnumerousnuclearplantsgoingoffline.Buildingssectoremissionsfellmarkedly,helpedbyamildwinter.Althoughpowersectoremissionsincreasedby3.4%,coalusewasnotashighasanticipated.Forthefirsttime,electricitygenerationfromwindandsolarPVcombinedexceededthatofgasornuclear.USemissionsgrewby0.8%or36Mt.Thebuildingssectorsawthehighestemissionsgrowth,drivenbyextremetemperatures.Themainemissionsreductionscamefromelectricityandheatgeneration,thankstounprecedentedincreasesinsolarPVandwind,aswellascoal-to-gasswitching.Whilemanyothercountriesreducedtheirnaturalgasuse,theUnitedStatessawanincreaseof89MtinCO2emissionsfromgas,asitwascalledupontomeetpeakelectricitydemandduringsummerheatwaves.EmissionsfromAsia’semergingmarketanddevelopingeconomies,excludingChina,grewmorethanthosefromanyotherregionin2022,increasingby4.2%or206MtCO2.Overhalfoftheregion’sincreaseinemissionscamefromcoal-firedpowergeneration.ThisreportisthefirstintheIEA’snewseries,theGlobalEnergyTransitionsStocktake.ThenewtrackerconsolidatestheIEA’slatestanalysisinoneplace,makingitfreelyaccessibleinsupportofthefirstGlobalStocktakeinthelead-uptoCOP28.CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE5IEA.CCBY4.0.Energy-relatedCO2emissionsgrewby0.9%toover36.8Gtin2022Globalcarbondioxide(CO2)emissionsfromenergycombustionandindustrialprocesses1grew0.9%or321Mtin2022toanewall-timehighof36.8Gt.ThisestimateisbasedontheIEA’sdetailedregion-by-regionandfuel-by-fuelanalysis,incorporatingthelatestofficialnationalstatisticsandpubliclyavailabledataonenergyuse,economicindicators,andweather.Lastyear’sincreasefollowstwoyearsofexceptionaloscillationsinenergy-relatedemissions.Emissionsshrankbymorethan5%in2020,astheCovid-19pandemiccutenergydemand.In2021,emissionsreboundedpastpre-pandemiclevels,growingmorethan6%intandemwitheconomicstimulusandtheroll-outofvaccines.Figure1:GlobalCO2emissionsfromenergycombustionandindustrialprocessesandtheirannualchange,1900-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.CO2emissionsfromenergycombustiongrewbyaround1.3%or423Mtin2022,whileCO2emissionsfromindustrialprocessesdeclinedby102Mt.Emissionsgrowthin2022wasbelowglobalGDPgrowth(+3.2%),revertingtoadecades-longtrendofdecouplingemissionsandeconomicgrowththatwasbrokenin2021.1AllsubsequentmentionsofCO2emissionsrefertoCO2emissionsfromenergycombustionandindustrialprocesses,unlessotherwisespecified.Furtherdetailsaboutmethodologyareattheendofthereport.102030401900191019201930194019501960197019801990200020102022GtCO₂-2-1012GtCO₂CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE6IEA.CCBY4.0.Meanwhile,improvementsinCO2intensityofenergyusewereslightlyslowerthanthepastdecade’s(2012-2021)annualaverage.Thereweredivergenttrendsbetweenregionsandsectors.CO2emissionsgrewinNorthAmericaandAsia(excludingPeople’sRepublicofChina[“China”hereafter]),outweighingreductionsfromEuropeandChina.Atagloballevel,CO2emissionsfrompowerandtransport(includinginternationalbunkers)grewby261Mtand254Mt,respectively,morethanoffsettingreductionsfromindustryandbuildings.Figure2:ChangeinCO2emissionsbyregionandbysector,2021-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Note:Transportincludesinternationalbunkers.GreaterdeploymentofcleanenergytechnologieshelpedpreventfurtheremissionsgrowthamidcrisesInanexceptionallyturbulentyearwithRussia'sinvasionofUkraine,energypriceshocks,risinginflation,andmajordisruptionstotraditionalfueltradeflows,globalgrowthinemissionswaslowerthananticipated.ImpressivegrowthofsolarPVandwindgenerationhelpedpreventaround465MtCO2inpowersectoremissions.Othercleanenergytechnologies,includingotherrenewables,electricvehicles,andheatpumps,helpedpreventanadditionalroughly85MtCO2.Withoutthisincreasedgrowthincleanenergydeployment,theannualincreaseinenergy-relatedemissionswouldhavebeenalmosttriple.Emissionsreductionsalsoresultedfromeconomicslowdowns,including100200300400500600IncreaseDecreaseNetchangeIncreaseDecreaseNetchangeRestofworldInternationalbunkersRestofAsiaPacificNorthAmericaEuropeChinaOtherBuildingsTransportIndustryPowerMtCO₂ByregionBysectorRegions:Sectors:CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE7IEA.CCBY4.0.155MtCO2fromdecreasesinenergy-intensiveindustrialproduction,mainlyinChina,theEuropeanUnion,Japan,KoreaandNorthAmerica.Specificchallengesin2022alsocontributedtotheglobalincreaseinemissions.Oftheoverallincreaseof321MtCO2,extremetemperaturescontributed60Mtfromheatingandcoolingforbuildings.Thedeclineinnuclearpowergeneration,duetobothmaintenanceandcontinuedphase-outs,ledtoanother55MtCO2.Figure3:ChangeinglobalCO2emissionsbydriver,2021-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Notes:SolarPVandwindrefertotheannualgrowthingeneration.Othercleantechnologiesistheannualgrowthinuseofotherrenewables,electricvehicles,andheatpumps.Inthisfigure,industryincludesironandsteel,chemicals,non-metallicminerals,andnon-ferrousmetals.ReductionsinemissionsfromnaturalgasweremorethanreplacedbyemissionsfromcoalEmissionsfromnaturalgasdecreasedby1.6%or118Mtin2022,asanalreadytightgassupplywasexacerbatedbyRussia’sinvasionofUkraineandthewidespreadtradedisruptionsthatfollowed.EmissionsreductionswereparticularlypronouncedinEurope,wheretheyfellby13.5%,withthestrongestyear-on-yearreductionscominginthelastmonthsoftheyear.Europeangaspricesreachedrecordhighsin2022followingasharpdeclineinRussiangasflows.However,amildstarttowinterhelpedreducehouseholdheatingdemand.IntheAsiaPacific,LNGspotpricesalsospiked,andnaturalgasemissionsdeclinedby1.8%,thelargestyear-on-yeardeclineeverseenintheregion.Bycontrast,naturalgasdemandremainedrobustintheUnitedStatesandCanada,whereemissionsfromgasincreasedby5.8%.200400600OtherNuclearplantsofflineHeatingandcoolingduetoMtCO₂Actualincreaseextremeweather200400600OthercleantechnologiesWindSolarPVIndustrialslowdownAvoidedCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE8IEA.CCBY4.0.Coalemissionsgrew243Mttoanewall-timehighofalmost15.5Gt.This1.6%increasewasfasterthanthe0.4%annualaveragegrowthoverthepastdecade.Figure4:ChangeinglobalCO2emissionsbyfuel,relativeto2019levels,2015-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.OilemissionsgrewthemostlastyearEmissionsfromoilgrewby2.5%(or268Mt)to11.2Gtin2022.Aroundhalfoftheyear-on-yearincreasecamefromaviationasairtravelcontinueditsrecoveryfrompandemiclows.Thereboundtopre-pandemicemissionslevelswasfasterinadvancedeconomies,wherelastyear’saviationemissionsreached85%of2019levels,comparedwith73%inemergingmarketanddevelopingeconomies.Totaltransportemissionsincreasedby2.1%(or137Mt),alsodrivenbygrowthinadvancedeconomies.Nonetheless,emissionswouldhavebeenhigherwithouttheacceleratingdeploymentoflow-carbonvehicles.Electriccarsalessurpassed10millionin2022,makingupover14%ofglobalsales.Ifallnewelectriccarsontheroadhadbeentypicaldieselorgasolinecars,globalemissionslastyearwouldhavebeenanother13Mthigher.-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.020152016201720182019202020212022GtCO₂CoalNaturalgasOilCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE9IEA.CCBY4.0.Despitepromisinggrowthinrenewables,powersectoremissionshadthelargestsectoralgrowthThelargestabsolutesectoralincreaseinemissionsin2022wasfromelectricityandheatgeneration.Electricityandheatsectoremissionsincreasedby1.8%(or261Mt),reachinganall-timehighof14.6Gt.Gas-to-coalswitchinginmanyregionswasthemaindriverofthisgrowth:CO2fromcoal-firedpowergenerationgrewby2.1%,ledbyincreasesinAsianemergingmarketanddevelopingeconomies.Naturalgasemissionsinthepowersectorremainedcloseto2021levels,proppedupmostsignificantlybyanincreaseintheUnitedStates.Globalelectricitydemandincreasedby2.7%,andoverallcarbonintensityoftheelectricitygenerationdeclinedby2.0%,resuminganine-yeartrendthathadbeenbrokenin2021.Theresumeddeclineincarbonintensityresultedfromthefastdeploymentofrenewablesacrossallregions,withrenewablesmeeting90%ofglobalgrowthinelectricitydemand.SolarPVandwindgenerationeachincreasedbyaround275TWh,helpingtoavoidaround465Mtinpowersectoremissions.Althoughseveralcountriesregisteredseveredroughtsin2022,globalhydrogenerationgrewby52TWhfrom2021’slevels,whichwerelowbecauseofwatershortagesinmanyregions.Figure5:GlobalCO2emissionsbysector,2019-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Note:Transportincludesinternationalbunkers.3691215PowerIndustryTransportBuildings2019202020212022GtCO₂CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE10IEA.CCBY4.0.Relianceoncoal-andgas-firedpowerinextremeweatherdroveupemissionsacrossregionsEmissionswerepushedupbyrelianceonfossilfuelpowerplantstomeetexcesscoolingdemandduringextremesummerheat,withcoolingdegreedaysacrossseveralregionsin2022exceedingtypicallevelsoreventhemaximumseenbetween2000and2021.IntheUnitedStates,theshareofnaturalgasinthepowerfuelmixsurpassed40%inJulyandAugust.CoalpowergenerationinChinaincreasedinAugustbyaround15%year-on-yeartoexceed500TWh.Inbothcountries,emissionslevelsforthefirsthalfoftheyearwerelowerthanin2021,beforesummerheatwavesreversedthetrend.Europesawthesecondwarmeststarttowinterinthelast30years,andasaresult,emissionsfrombuildingswerelowerthananticipated.Forthefullyear,coolingandheatingdemandfromextremeweatherpushedupglobalemissionsbyaround60MtCO2,aroundtwo-thirdsofwhichcamefromadditionalcoolingneeds,andtheremainingthirdfromheatingneeds.Thisaccountedforalmostone-fifthofthetotalglobalincreaseinCO2emissions.Figure6:Coolingdegreedaysinsummermonthsandheatingdegreedaysinwintermonthsforselectedcountries/regions,2000-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Notes:Coolingdegreedaysillustratehowhotaveragedailytemperatureswereandaremeasuredrelativeto21⁰C.Heatingdegreedaysillustratehowcoldaveragedailytemperatureswereandaremeasuredrelativeto18⁰C.100200300400500600UnitedStatesEuropeanUnionChina2000-20212022DegreedaysCoolingdegreedays(Jun-Aug)20040060080010001200UnitedStatesEuropeanUnionChinaHeatingdegreedays(Oct-Dec)CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE11IEA.CCBY4.0.China’semissionsbarelychangedfrom2021to2022,amidCovid-19lockdownsandarealestateslumpEnergy-relatedemissionsinChinawererelativelyflatbetween2021and2022,decreasingby0.2%or23Mttoaround12.1Gt.Emissionsfromenergycombustionalonegrewby88Mt,entirelyduetoincreaseduseofcoal,butthiswasmorethanoffsetbydeclinesinemissionsfromindustrialprocesses.Theoverallyearlydeclinewasthefirstsincestructuralreformsdroveemissionslowerin2015.WhileChinasignificantlyrampedupdomesticcoalproductionandcoalpowercapacityadditionslastyear,actualcoalconsumptiondidnotfullykeeppace.TemperedbyalargeincreaseinsolarPVandwindgeneration,coalaccountedforaroundthree-fifthsofthefuelmixinelectricitygeneration.Totalelectricitydemandgrewmuchslowerthantheaverageseenoverthelastdecade.Assuch,emissionsfromcoal-firedpowerincreasedbyaround3%,inpartduetotheramp-upofcoalpowerplantsduringheatwaves,aswellastoincreasingrelianceonelectricityordistrictheatingfuelledbycoal.Industrysectoremissionsdeclined,buttheeffectsofChina’scrackdownondebt-financedpropertyandtheongoingrealestateslumpwerenotfullyreflectedin2022industryemissions.Constructionnewstartsweredownbyaround40%year-on-year,whiletheproductionofsteelandcementwerejust2%and10%lowerthanin2021,respectively.Asaresult,China’sindustrysectoremitted161Mtlessthantheyearbefore,withalargeshareofthisdeclinefromprocessemissions.China’sunprecedentedlylargeyear-on-yeardeclinepulleddownglobalindustryemissions.Incontrasttotheglobalgrowthintransportsectoremissions,China’stransportemissionsregistereda3.1%decreasein2022.Covid-19measureswerestronglyreinforcedincomparisonto2021,includingtotallockdownsinmajorcitiesandrestrictionsoncrossingprefectureorprovinceboundaries.Atthesametime,electriccarsalesreached6millionin2022,preventingfurtheremissionsfromdieselandgasolinecars.UnitedStatesemissionsgrewin2022,drivenbyrisingnaturalgasconsumptionUSemissionsgrewby0.8%(or36Mt)to4.7Gtin2022.Theannualgrowthwasmuchslowerthan2021’sspurtbutstilladeviationfromthepreviousdecade’sdecliningtrend.Whilemostothercountriesshiftedawayfromnaturalgasinthefaceoflastyear’spricespikes,theUnitedStatesincreaseditsconsumption.CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE12IEA.CCBY4.0.Emissionsfromnaturalgasincreased89Mt,morethansupplantingthe69Mtdeclineincoalemissions.Emissionsgrewthemostinthebuildingssector,rising26Mtandfarexceedingthelastdecade’sannualaveragegrowth(around7Mtperyear).Thejumpwasmostlycausedbycoldweatherduringtheearlymonthsoftheyear.Powersectoremissionsdecreasedby20Mt,inlargepartthankstosolarPVandwindgenerationincreasingbyaround95TWh.Withoutlastyear’sriseinrenewables,powersectoremissionswouldhavebeenaround65MtCO2higher.However,powergenerationcontributedmorethanhalfofthegrowthinnaturalgasemissions,asthetrendofcoal-to-gasswitchingresumedafterastrongcoalreboundin2021,withnaturalgaspowerplantsmeetingpeakcoolingdemandduringthesummer’sheatwaves.EnergycrisispushedEuropeanUniontocutemissionsthroughcleanpoweranddemandreductionmeasuresDespitethecoincidingchallengesofoilandgasmarketdisruptions,hydroshortfallsduetodrought,andnumerousnuclearplantsgoingoffline,theEuropeanUnionreduceditsemissionsby2.5%(or70Mt),thankstoamildwinter,effectiveenergyconservationmeasures,fuelswitching,behaviourchanges,andindustrialproductioncurtailments.Reducednaturalgasemissionsmorethanoffsetincreasesinemissionsfromcoalandoil.Buildingssectoremissionsdeclinedthemost,by60Mt,enabledbyexceptionallymildweatherfromOctobertoDecember2022–thesecondwarmeststarttowinterinthelast30years–andcollectiveenergyconservationmeasures.Averageelectricityconsumptionwaslower,evenaccountingforweather,andelectricityusewaslesssensitivetotemperaturechangesin2022thanin2019,pointingtotheroleofbehaviourchange.EUheatpumpsalesreached2.8million,morethandoublinginseveralcountriesfromthepreviousyear.MeanwhileindustrysectorCO2emissionsdeclinedby42Mt.CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE13IEA.CCBY4.0.Figure7:DailyaverageelectricityloadatdifferenttemperaturesintheEuropeanUnion,2019and2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Notes:Thermosensitivityshowsthelineofbestfitbetweenaveragedailyelectricityloadandaveragedailytemperature.2019isshownasanindicativehistoricyearbeforethepandemic.Source:AnalysisbasedonIEAWeatherforEnergyTrackerandRealTimeElectricityTracker.Powersectoremissionsincreasedby28Mteventhoughelectricitydemanddeclined,asatemporarilyhigherrelianceoncoalincreasedcarbonintensity.A15%increaseinwindandsolarPVgenerationhelpedpreventfurthercoalusewithwindandsolarPVforthefirsttimejointlyovertakinggasaswellasnuclearasthetopsourceofEurope’selectricitygeneration.Thisrecord-breakingincreaseinsolarPVandwindgenerationavoidedalmost75MtCO2ofemissions.Withouthydrogenerationdecreasingby21%year-on-yearandnuclearby17%,another80Mtcouldhavebeenaverted.Despitetheglobalenergycrisis,recoveryfromtheCovid-19pandemicisprovingmoresustainablethanpastcrisesCountriesrespondedtothehighenergypricesandenergysecurityconcernscausedbyRussia’sinvasionofUkrainewithenergyconservationmeasures,fuelswitching,andanaccelerationofcleanenergytechnologydeployment.Emissionstrendsnowstandincontrasttothoseseenafterthe2008globalfinancialcrisis.EnergyintensityofGDPisnow3.5%below2019pre-pandemiclevels,comparedto2%belowthreeyearsaftertheonsetofthefinancialcrisis.CO2intensityofenergyusein2022waslowerthanbeforethepandemic,afterashort-livedreboundin2021,unliketheincreasethatemergedintheearly2010s.2002503003504000481216⁰C2019Oct-Dec2022Thermosensitivity2019ThermosensitivityOct-Dec2022GWCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE14IEA.CCBY4.0.Thelargegreenspendingcomponentofstimuluspackagesappearstobemakingalastingimpactoncontrollingemissionsgrowth.BetweenApril2020andOctober2022,economicrecoverypackagesenactedbygovernmentsworldwideincludedUSD1215billionincleanenergyinvestmentsupport,asdetailedintheIEA’sGovernmentEnergySpendingTracker.Thisiswellovertwicethefinancialcommitmentsmadetogreenrecoverymeasuresafterthefinancialcrisis.Figure8:Globalemissionsintensityofenergyuseandenergyintensityofeconomicactivity,2008-2011and2019-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Energy-relatedgreenhousegasemissionsreached41.3GtCO2-eqin2022Totalenergy-relatedgreenhousegasemissionsincreasedby1.0%toanall-timehighof41.3GtCO2-eq(see“Datasourcesandmethod”forglobalwarmingpotentialvalues).CO2emissionsfromenergycombustionandindustrialprocessaccountedfor89%ofenergy-relatedgreenhousegasemissionsin2022.Methanefromenergycombustion,leaksandventingrepresentedanother10%,mostlycomingfromonshoreoilandgasoperationsaswellassteamcoalproduction.Methaneemissionsrosetonearly135MtCH4oraround4GtCO2-eqin2022,despitehighnaturalgaspricesthatincreasedthecosteffectivenessofmethaneabatementtechnologies.951001052008200920102011EnergyintensityofGDPCO₂intensityofenergyIndex(2008=100)Financialcrisis951001052019202020212022Index(2019=100)Covid-19pandemicCO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE15IEA.CCBY4.0.Figure9:Globalenergy-relatedgreenhousegasemissions,2000-2022IEA.CCBY4.0.Source:FlaringemissionsarefromIEAanalysisbasedontheWorldBankGlobalGasFlaringReductionProgramme.ThisreportisthefirstintheIEA’snewseriescalledtheGlobalEnergyTransitionsStocktake.ThenewtrackerconsolidatestheIEA’slatestanalysisinonelocation,makingitfreelyaccessibleinsupportofthefirstGlobalStocktakeinthelead-uptoCOP28ClimateChangeConferenceinNovember.10203040200020052010201520202022GtCO₂-eqNitrousoxideMethaneblank_seriesIndustrialprocessesFlaringWasteNaturalgasOilCoalNon-CO₂:CO₂:CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE16IEA.CCBY4.0.DatasourcesandmethodTheIEAdrawsuponawiderangeofrespectedstatisticalsourcestoconstructestimatesofenergydemand,energy-relatedCO2andothergreenhousegasemissionsfortheyear2022.SourcesincludethelatestmonthlydatasubmissionstotheIEAEnergyDataCentre,real-timedatafrompowersystemoperatorsacrosstheworld,statisticalreleasesfromnationaladministrations,andrecentdatafromtheIEAMarketReportseriesthatcoverscoal,oil,naturalgas,renewables,electricityandenergyefficiency.Wheredataarenotavailableonanannualormonthlybasis,estimatesareused.ThescopeofCO2emissionsinthisreportincludesemissionsfromallusesoffossilfuelsforenergypurposes,includingthecombustionofnon-renewablewaste,aswellasemissionsfromindustrialprocessessuchascement,ironandsteel,andchemicalsproduction.Estimatesofindustrialprocessemissionsdrawuponthelatestproductiondataforironandsteel,clinkerforcement,aluminium,andchemicals.CO2emissionsfromthecombustionofflaredgasesarealsoincludedinestimatesofglobalenergy-relatedgreenhousegasemissions.Non-CO2greenhousegasemissionsincludefugitiveemissionsfromoil,gasandcoalsupply.Methaneandnitrousoxideemissionsrelatedtoenergycombustionarealsoevaluated,basedontypicalemissionsfactorsforthecorrespondingendusesandregions.Whenconvertingnon-CO2greenhousegasemissionstoequivalentquantities,aglobalwarmingpotentialovera100-yearperiodisused,withglobalwarmingpotentialvaluesof30formethaneand273fornitrousoxide.EconomicgrowthratesunderlyingthisanalysisarethosepublishedbytheInternationalMonetaryFund’sJanuary2023WorldEconomicOutlookupdate.AllmonetaryquantitiesareexpressedinUSD(2021)inpurchasingpowerparity(PPP)terms.CO2Emissionsin2022GrowthinemissionslowerthanfearedPAGE17IEA.CCBY4.0.AcknowledgementsThisstudywaspreparedbytheEnergyModellingOfficeintheDirectorateofSustainability,TechnologyandOutlooksinco-operationwithotherdirectoratesandofficesoftheInternationalEnergyAgencyunderthedirectionandguidanceofLauraCozzi,ChiefEnergyModellerandHeadofDivisionforEnergyDemandOutlookandStéphanieBouckaert,HeadoftheDemandSectorsUnit.OliviaChenwasleadauthorandanalystandVíctorGarcíaTapialedondatascienceandanalysis.ArthurRogécontributedtodatascienceandanalysis.CarlosFernandezAlvarez(coal),PaulHugues(industry),MartinKueppers(industry),andAnthonyVautrin(weather)werekeycontributors.OthervaluableinputscamefromYasmineArsalane(macroeconomy),HeymiBahar(renewables),YunyouChen(China),LeonardoCollina(chemicals),TrevorCriswell(renewables),Jean-BaptisteDubreuil(gas),CiaránHealy(oil),YujiaHan(China),JavierJorquera(electricity),ArnauRisquezMartin(historicalemissions),ChristopheMcGlade(methane),GergelyMolnar(gas),TomásdeOlivieraBredariol(methane),DianaPerezSanchez(chemicals),ApostolosPetropoulos(transport),LuisFernandoRosa(oil),RichardSimon(aluminium),ThomasSpencer(China),andBrentWanner(renewables).MarinadosSantosprovidedesentialsupport.JethroMullenandGregoryViscusicarriededitorialresponsibility.ThanksgototheIEA’sCommunicationsandDigitalOffice,particularlytoJadMouawad,CurtisBrainard,HortensedeRoffignac,AstridDumond,MerveErdil,GraceGordon,IsabelleNonain-Semelin,JuliePuech,CharnerRamsey,RobStoneandLucileWallInternationalEnergyAgency(IEA).ThisworkreflectstheviewsoftheIEASecretariatbutdoesnotnecessarilyreflectthoseoftheIEA’sindividualMembercountriesorofanyparticularfunderorcollaborator.Theworkdoesnotconstituteprofessionaladviceonanyspecificissueorsituation.TheIEAmakesnorepresentationorwarranty,expressorimplied,inrespectofthework’scontents(includingitscompletenessoraccuracy)andshallnotberesponsibleforanyuseof,orrelianceon,thework.SubjecttotheIEA’sNoticeforCC-licencedContent,thisworkislicencedunderaCreativeCommonsAttribution4.0InternationalLicence.Thisdocumentandanymapincludedhereinarewithoutprejudicetothestatusoforsovereigntyoveranyterritory,tothedelimitationofinternationalfrontiersandboundariesandtothenameofanyterritory,cityorarea.Unlessotherwiseindicated,allmaterialpresentedinfiguresandtablesisderivedfromIEAdataandanalysis.IEAPublicationsInternationalEnergyAgencyWebsite:www.iea.orgContactinformation:www.iea.org/contactTypesetinFrancebyIEA-March2023Coverdesign:IEAPhotocredits:©GettyImages

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