4 田丽娜-澳洲储能市场介绍——Green Power Investment 案例分析VIP专享VIP免费

Australia Battery Energy Storage Market
Greenpower Projects in South Australia
储能Greenpower
Greenpower Investment Pty Ltd
24 April 2019 Hangzhou
1
Agenda
ØAustralia Energy Storage Market 澳洲
ØGovernment Policy and Supports
ØGreenpower Energy Storage Projects in South Australia (SA)
Greenpower
üGrid Connected BESS: 200MW/100MWh
ü200MW/100MWh
üResidential: Virtual Power Plant (VPP) for 50,000 Homes
ü50000户基于虚拟电网连接的分布式光伏储能项目
2
Australia Battery Energy Storage (BESS) Market
is one of the fastest growing markets in the world
3
BESS Deployment by market in 2017
澳洲是全球储能市场增长速度最快的国家之一
AustraliaBatteryEnergyStorageMarketGreenpowerProjectsinSouthAustralia澳洲电池储能市场介绍及Greenpower南澳项目概览GreenpowerInvestmentPtyLtd24April2019Hangzhou1AgendaØAustraliaEnergyStorageMarket澳洲储能市场ØGovernmentPolicyandSupports政府政策及支持ØGreenpowerEnergyStorageProjectsinSouthAustralia(SA)Greenpower公司位于南澳的储能项目üGridConnectedBESS:200MW/100MWhü200MW/100MWh电网侧储能系统üResidential:VirtualPowerPlant(VPP)for50,000Homesü50000户基于虚拟电网连接的分布式光伏储能项目2AustraliaBatteryEnergyStorage(BESS)Marketisoneofthefastestgrowingmarketsintheworld3BESSDeploymentbymarketin2017澳洲是全球储能市场增长速度最快的国家之一LargeScaleBESSCurrentProjectList4Ø55ProjectsØTotalBESSis4GWhØ现有55个项目,共4GWhResidentialandCommercialBESScouldbeupto450,000unitsand3GWhintotalby20205户用及商用电池储能系统预计到2020年将增至450000个以及3GWhAustralianGovernmentcommittedtoParisAgreementNationalpolicy:50%REtargetby2030EnergyPolicyisStatesPolicyinAustralia,StatesSetRenewableEnergytarget澳洲政府对巴黎协定十分重视国家政策:2030年前达到50%可再生能源占比澳洲各州亦有各州的能源政策,如右图所示6SouthAustralia:TargetZeroNetEmissionby2050,Currentlyusing50%RenewableEnergy南澳州目标为到2050年前达到0净排放,现可再生能源使用率为50%GovernmentSupport–Solar政府光伏支持政策FederalGovernmentSupportSolarthroughCarbonTaxScheme联邦政府通过收取碳排放税支持光伏能源发展ØLGC–Large-scalegenerationcertificate(大规模发电许可)üSolarinstallation>100KW装机总功率大于100KWüAnnualbaserebate政策每年调整ü1LGCpriceisAU$34atcurrentmarket,equalto1MWhsolarpowergeneratedperyear1LGC相当于1年周期内每发电1MWh的补贴,现市场价格1LGC=34澳元üForexample,install1MWSolarfarmcanreceive$49,640FederalGovernmentrebatein2018,如2018年,每1兆瓦的光伏电厂可获取联邦政府49640澳元的政策补贴ØSTC–Small-scaleRenewableEnergycertificates(小规模可再生能源许可)üSolarinstallation<100KW装机总功率小于100KWüOnetimerebate一次性补贴政策ü1STC=AU$37üForexample,install6.5KWSolarPVcanreceive$4,088rebatefromFederalGovernmentü如安装6.5KW的光伏板可获得联邦政府4088澳元的政策补贴7GovernmentSupport-BatteryStorage政府电池储能支持政策ØResidentialBattery各州户用电池储能系统补贴政策State/TerritoryPolicy/IncentiveSouthAustraliaHomeBatteryScheme(HBS):$100millionrebateand$100millionCEFCloan,$500/WKhupto$6000(12WKh)perhomeVictoriaSolarHomesPackage:50%ofBatteryinstallationcost,upto$4,835perhome,for100,000homeswhichannualincomeless$180,000QueenslandUpto$3000rebateand$10,000interestfreeloan,for1000homesACT$825/KWhinstalledbatteryrebate,upto5,000homebatterysystemFederalGovtIfLabourgovernmentelected,$200millionfundforhomebatteryrebate,for100,000homes,upto$2000perhome8ØLargeScaleBattery–StateandARENAfunding大规模储能电站各州及ARENA补贴üSouthAustralia:$50millionforlargescalestoragefund(GSSF)南澳州补贴基金5000万澳元üARENAR:$110millionARPfundforSouthAustraliaARENA针对南澳州的1.1亿澳元补贴基金NationalEnergyMarket(NEM)国家能源市场AustralianEnergyMarketOperator(AEMO)isresponsibleforoperationofwholesalenationalelectricitymarketAEMO是澳洲国家电能批发市场的管控机构平台9LargeScaleBESSinstalledprojects已安装交付使用的大型储能电站项目ProjectnameBESSSizeSystemTeslaHornsdalePowerReserve,SA100MW/129MWhTeslaLakeBonneyWindFarm,SA25MW/52MWhTeslaDalrymple,SA30MW/8MWhSamsungGannawarra,Vic25MW/50MWhTeslaBallarat,Vic30MW/30MWhFluence–Siemens&AESTesla’sprojectwasinstalledinNov2017,allofotherprojectswereinstalledin201810HornsdalePowerReserve(HPR)ØTesla:ThelargestbatteryintheworldØTheProjectofTesla–Neoen–SAGovernmentØNov2017commissioned,builtin100days2017年11月投运,100日内建成ØCapex:$90millionintotal,$54millionforBattery总投资9000万澳元,其中电池5400万ØNetincomein12month:$25-26million(ABCNewsreport))1年内净收益:25-26万澳元11ØBatterySupplier:Samsung'scellsØBatterysize:100MW/129MWhØPowerpacknormalCrating0.53ØSAGovernmentContract:70KW/30KWh,whenPriceinSAhitsmarketcapof>$14,000/MWhØNeoenWindFarmuses:30MW/99MWh(0.303C)ØPowerpacklifespan:15years12Tesla’ssystemFCASPerformance辅助调频表现ØAEMOReportconfirmedtheBESShasexcellentFCASperformanceØAEMO报告确认储能系统的辅助调频表现优异ØChart:TheBatteryrespondedaccidentaltripofgenerationinNSWØ左图为Tesla项目在2017年12月18日响应一次来自新南威尔士州的调频调度需求的表现13IncomeStreambreakdown12month,2018IncomeStreamActualIncome,AU$millionFCASService辅助调频服务15.7EnergyArbitrage峰谷套利3.3GovernmentContract政府合约4.0Others其他2.5Total25.514ABCNewReport:Thetotalinvestmentwas$90million,netincomewas$25.5million;SmartEnergyCouncilReport:theprojectpaybackperiodis2.8years根据ABC报告:项目总投资9000万澳元,第一年净利润2550万澳元根据澳洲智慧能源协会估算:项目回本周期为2.8年HPRNetIncomesbreakdown,infirst12monthTeslaHPR项目前12个月净收益来源拆分HPRFCASIncomeAnalysisTeslaHPR项目辅助调频收入分析15Source:GreenpowerInvestmentGreenpowerInvestment’sProjectinSouthAustralia200MW/100MWhGridConnectedBESS16GreenpowerInvestmentProjectinSouthAustralia200MW/100MWhGridConnectBESSGreenpowerInvestment位于南澳州的200MW/100MWh的电网侧储能项目TheBESSOpportunitiesinSouthAustralia南澳的储能市场机会ØSolarandWindarebecomingmajorenergysourceinSA光伏及风能正成为南澳州的主要电力来源ØSAGovernmentsupportstheLargeScaleEnergyStoragesysteminvestment,provide$50millionGSSF+ARENA$110millionsupportingfunds南澳州政府支持政策较好,政府5000万+ARENA1.1亿澳元基金支持ØTesla’aHPRprojecthasprovedtheboththelargescaleBESStechnicalperformanceandfinancialreturnsTeslaHPR项目已经为大型储能项目于当地的技术及财务表现提供了例证Ø北控清洁能源-70MWsolarfarmand150MWhBESSprojectinSAEnergyMix–Renewable48.5%7DaysActual:7/14April201917TheBESSProjectØGreenpoweristheprojectdeveloperGreenpower为此项目的开发商ØProjectissupportedbySAGovernment项目已获得南澳州政府支持ØProjectScope:ü200MW/100MWhLFPBattery,2CsystemüLocation:TemplersWestSwitchYard,directconnectto275KVgrid直联275KV电网üOperateonAEMOwholesaleNationalEnergyMarketü在AEMO国家能源批发平台运营交易üMajorIncome:FCASandEnergyArbitrageü主要收入来源为辅助调频及峰谷套利交易18FCASMarketØHighvolatility不稳定性高Ø$15millionper4weeksinaverage平均每4周1500万澳元ØFCAS/SpotMarket=1.8%19YearFCASMarketValue,$million201612320172142018217Average185Arbitrage峰谷套利交易ØAveragedailynetearningpriceof6x5mins(30mins)dispatchØ右图为按照6×5分钟的调度模式,平均每天的净收益情况ØBasedonpast19yearsdataanalysisØ基于过往19年的数据分析ØAverageDailyEarning(2Cand30mins):$400/MWh/DayØ按照2C系统及30分钟模式计算,平均收入为400澳元/MWh/天Ø2CBatteryhashigherdailyearningthan1CBatteryØ2C电池每天获利表现优于1C电池20Source:GreenpowerInvestment0.5C1C2CCAPEXEstimationAU$millionNoteSystemCost80IncludeBESSsystemandInverterin40ftcontainer&shipment包括40尺集装箱式电池、逆变器等设备(含运输)Equipment&EngineeringCost,Connectionto275KV17TransformerPCSto33KVand33KVto275KV,SwitchGear,Connection变压器,开关设备,连接设备等SystemInstallation&EngineeringCost8Sitecost,installationandconnectionto11KVtransformerSystemCommissioningCost7Modellingtest,tradingplatformdevelopingandCommissioning模型测试、平台开发、认证等Contingency8Total12021SystemCostbudgedRMB4000/KWhTheProjectCapitalExpenses(Capex)Budget项目预算CapitalStructureoftheProject项目资本结构22SourceofFundsAU$millionSAGSSFandARENAARPFunds州政府及ARENA补贴20CEFC(ClearEnergyFinancialCorporation),Loan清洁能源基金会低息贷款30CommercialBank,Loan商业银行贷款20PEInvestment私募股权投资50Total120CEFC:lowinterestloan–3.5%interestrateIncomeEstimationandPaybackPeriod收入预计及回报周期23IncomeStreamAU$millionFCACService辅助调频12EnergyArbitrage套利交易10Others其他5Total27oBaseontheCapitalStructureandIncomeEstimation,theprojectpaybackperiodwillbewithin3years根据资本结构及收入预计,项目回报周期会在3年以内oGreenpowerwelcomespotentialinvestorsandsystemproviderstoparticipateproject我司欢迎国内潜在的投资者及系统供应商参与项目ProjectScheduleØScopeofSupplyüEPCandprojectmanagementüBatterySystemüContainerSystem(40ft)üPCSSystemüEMSSystem24ProjectMilestoneKeyDateFiletheProjectApplicationFeb2019SAGSSFandARENAFundAnnouncementMay2019Invitation-ExpressionofInterestsJune2019InvitationforTenderofsupplyAug2019CloseFinancingSept2019CommercialContractofSupplyNov2019SystemAssemblyandTestpreshipmentMar2020SitePreparationandconstructionMar2020SystemInstallationJune2020SystemCommissioningAug2020SystemConnecttoGridSept2020SystemHandovertooperationDec2020oGreenpowerwillconsignthereputableinstitutiontomanagetheEOIandTenderprocessoGreenpowerwillrecruitqualifiedprojectmanagersandengineerstojointheproject,willworkinAustraliafor2years,potentially,employernomination项目进度计划Ø产品及服务需求üEPC及项目管理ü电池系统ü40尺集装箱系统üPCSüEMS25项目里程碑时间节点递交项目申请2019.2SA及ARENA补贴的落实2019.5项目意向邀请2019.6投标邀请2019.8CloseFinancing2019.9签订供货合同2019.11系统预组装及出货前测试2020.3场地准备及建设2020.3系统安装2020.6系统认证2020.8系统并网2020.9系统移交运营2020.12oGreenpower将会委托权威机构负责EOI及投标事宜oGreenpower将会在国内招聘有经验的项目经理及工程师参与我司项目,相关人员将在澳洲工作两年,并有机会获得雇主提名办理澳洲绿卡TheFuturewillbeDistributed分布式能源的未来VirtualPowerPlant(VPP)虚拟电网DistributedEnergyResource(DER)分布式能源Greenpower’sProjectinSouthAustraliaVPPfor50,000Homes50000户基于虚拟电网连接的分布式光伏储能项目26SouthAustraliahasthehighestresidentialretailelectricitypriceintheworld南澳为全球户用电费最贵的地区27TeslasignedtheVPPprojectwithSAGovernment2018Tesla与南澳政府于2018年签订了虚拟电网的项目Ø100homestrialwassuccessfulØ100户测试已经成功Ø1000homestrialisonthewayØ正在做1000户的测试28Australia–abundantsunshineAUSTRALIAHASHIGHSOLARIRRADIATION29Australiahasrichsunlight1KWSolarPVcanproduce4KWhelectricityperday澳洲光伏资源丰富,1KW的光伏板每天可产出4KWh的电力qAustraliahasahighestrooftopspacepercapitaintheworldAustraliahas9.5millionhouseholds,80%peoplelivesinhouseLargesthousespaceperhouseholds–214m2inaveragenewhome澳洲拥有全球最高的户均屋顶面积,澳洲共有950万户家庭,80%的人口是生活在独栋房屋里,世界最高的户均面积-214平方米。30By2040,SolarandDERbecomekeyenergysourceinAustralia到2040年,光伏及分布式能源将会成为澳洲主要的电力来源Ø52GWSolarPVwillbeinstalled,anditmakesup38%oftotalpowersupply.预计光伏组件的市场容量将达到52GW,占澳洲总能源供给的38%Ø37GWsolarpowerwillbeDER(Home&Commercial)其中37GW的光伏将会是分布式户用或商用系统Ø40GWhBatteryStorageØ储能电池市场规模搭40GWh31Source:BloombergNewEnergyFinance来源:彭博社新能源财经GreenpowerVPPfor50,000homesØInvesting6.5kwrooftopsSolarPV+14KWhbatteryforeachhomeasDER投资6.5KW光伏板+14KWh电池ØSaletheelectricityfromDERtohomeowners,atadiscountprice(10%ormore)以-10%的折扣向用户售电ØThroughVPPplatform,tradeEnergyatwholesaleenergymarket通过VPP平台,加入AEMO平台售电ØTheprojectissupportedbySAgovernment,HBSprovides$6000perhomerebate,projectwillberolledoutwithin4/5years南澳政府提供每户6000澳元的补贴,此项目将在4-5年内完成ØTotalsolarPVtobeinstalled:325MW总光伏组件功率ØTotalbatterytobeinstalled:700MWhLFPhomebatterysystem总磷酸铁锂家庭储能系统容量ØTotalinvestmentwillbeAUS1billion,40%fromgovernmentrebateand60%fromPEinvestmentandbankfinance总投资10亿澳元,40%来自政府补贴,60来自私募股权投资及银行融资ØItwouldbethefirstVPPfor50,000homesintheworld全球首个万户规模的户用分布式虚拟电网储能项目32VPPTechnologyPartner33ØSwitchDinistechstartupcompany,focusingonVPPdevelopment.OneofthebestVPPsystemonthemarketØSwitchDin是一家科技创业公司,主要针对虚拟电网开发。是市场上最好的虚拟电网系统开发商之一。ØGreenpowerinvestsintheVPPthroughstrategicpartnershipwithSwitchDinØ我司通过投资与SwitchDin达成战略合作伙伴协议ØSwitchDinVPPplatformisforbothresidentialmarketandlargescaleBESSmarketVPP平台在户用及大型储能电站均可使用FinancialAnalysisfor1000HomesØCapitalinvestment$5.5million,实际资本投资550万澳元ØItcouldbeintheformofleasecontract以融资租赁方式投资ØPaybackPeriodis4.2years回报周期为4.2年ØProjectlifetimemorethan20years项目生命周期为20年341000HomesUnitAmountTotalinvestmentfullyinstalled总投资$million-21.00STCRebate联邦政府STC补贴$million3.50HBSRebate州政府HBS补贴$million6.00BankFinancing银行低息贷款$million6.00Capitalinvestment资本投资$million5.50NetOperationIncome净收入$million2.36LoanPayment,5.8%&7years贷款周期及利息$million1.05ProjectIRR项目内部收益率%34.1PaybackPeriod回报周期Year4.19oGreenpower正在寻找可提供融资租赁服务的电池供应商WhatVPPcandoBeyondHomeDER&ESSØVPPisEdgeComputingandCloudComputingbasedsystem,VPPintegrateswithbigdataandmachinelearningtechnologyØ虚拟电网技术是一个基于边缘计算及云计算的软件系统,融合了大数据以及机器学习技术ØVPPusescomputerpowerreplacehumanandmakestheDERpossibleØ虚拟电网使用电脑智能取代人力管理,让分布式能源大规模复杂的调度管理变成现实ØVPPcanintegrateEVintohomeenergysystemØ虚拟电网可以将充电汽车整合进家庭能源系统ØVPPprovidesagatewayforIoTSmartHomeØ虚拟电网为物联网时代的智能家居提供入口分布式储能系统管理能源交易智能家居入口电动汽车充电电动汽车电池组租赁及更换服务电动汽车电池参与家用储能系统VPPPlatformisthegatewayforIoTSmartHome虚拟电网平台是物联网时代智能家居的入口SmartHomeisIoT’sapplicationathomes物联网在家庭中应用造就智能家居VPPplatformwillbeagatewaytoconnecthomeownerstogether虚拟电网平台可以成为连接各家各户的入口VPPplatformwillprovidetheenergyconsumptioninformationforsmarthomesystem虚拟电网平台为智能家居系统提供各负载能耗信息VPPplatformcanperformcloudcomputingtooptimizethesmarthome虚拟电网平台可以通过云计算为用户提供最优化的智能家居管理服务36VPPPlatformintegratestheEVbatteryintohomeenergysystem(DER)Supplyelectricitytohomeandgridatpeakhour在高峰时向家庭及电网提供剩余电能ChargingEVbatterywithSolarpoweroroff-peakpoweratnighttime利用太阳能或夜间峰谷充电37(我司联系方式)38ThankYou!

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