2021.6⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁⡲罏勚䫉蕥゠䕖ば꣥崸Ⱖ➭⡲罏勚㮴翫禹倰䒭勚䫉蕥sli@rmi.org晜勉♸䒸欽勚䫉蕥゠䕖ば꣥崸⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾2021뚅靧劥䫣デ⡲罏暵ⵆ䠭靧⚥㕂䗄梠絑崸⼸⠔㼆劥䫣デ乊ⱗ䲿⣘涸峯錛錜挿♸㹈餥䒊雳կ⡲罏♸뚅靧XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁Ⱒ✵䧮⟌Ⱒ✵衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾僽♧㹻✵1982䎃用涸⚁⚌ծ杝用涸ꬋ渠ⵄ劼匬կ䧮⟌荝⸂✵鸑鵂䲿⣘䋑㖞⻊鍒Ɀ倰呩䲀⸓Ⰼ椕腊彂禹絡鲮㘗⟄㹊梡˫庛⼮涸孞⦫湡叻鸣幡峇ծ籖虽涸ꨪ焫Ⱏ❧劢勻կ䧮⟌㖈Ⰼ椕䒓㾝䊨⡲♸⟱⚌ծ佟瘻ⵖ㹁罏ծ爢⼓ㄤꬋ佟䏎劼匬ざ⡲霋ⵆ䎇錞垷⻊䲀䎛腊彂禹絡鲮㘗鍒Ɀ倰呩傋㖈㣐䌴꣭⡛庛㹔孞⡤䱗佞կ衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾㖈⚥㕂⻌❩ծ繠㕂猰縄䬘㢴䊜䊼程㼷暵ㄤ⽇㼷䗞ծ紿紨䋑ծ⸈䊜㤵⯘Ⱎ⿺⼶渿곦暵⼓霃剣⸅✲㢅կXXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁湡䔶鎊ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㖈⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞⚥涸餑柄ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽䋑㖞悶⸂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂❡⚌〄㾝馋⸷罌俒柄XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁⚥㕂䲿ⴀ涸焫⚥ㄤ湡叻⚹䲀⸓⚥㕂⸈鸟ꨪ焫腊彂鲮㘗䲿⣘✫䔂⸢涸佟瘻⸓⸂կ㛇✵衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾䎃〄䋒շ⚥㕂♧⚡Ⰼ㹊梡梡➿⻊㕂㹻涸ꨪ焫㕃兞ո䫣デ⟄♴皍獦ꨪ焫㕃兞䫣デ涸剣Ⱒⴔ區ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㼜➢彂㣢Ⲹ㼱㼆湱Ⱒ❡ㅷㄤ剪⸉涸宠僽剒剣佪⚂䧭劥剒⡛涸膴焫䩛媯կ劥俒㖈ꨪ焫㕃兞䫣デ涸㛇炄♳ꅾ挿ⴔ區✫⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㼆㹊梡焫⚥ㄤ湡叻涸餑柄⟄⿺焫⚥ㄤ湡叻絛ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌䌄勻涸劼麁կ鎊ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㖈⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞⚥涸餑柄XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/勻彂腊彂鲮㘗㨼プ⠔շ騨遤⢪ㄐ䩧鸣Ⰼ椕ꨪ焫絑崸ոⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㖈⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞⚥涸餑柄Ⰼ椕ぐ灇瑕劼匬罌贊㹊梡焫⚥ㄤ䧴ꨪ焫鲮㘗涸騟䖈䊺㛇劥馋ず⽰㖈腊彂嶊餩⣩㽴〳腊Ⲹ㼱剪⸉ㄤ❡ㅷ涸宠ծ䲿넞欰❡餴俱佪桧ㄤ腊佪⟄⿺㣐錞垷歏孞⻊ㄤ㹊倶幡峇腊彂剏➿㥵欰暟餘ㄤ孲腊㖈腊彂⣘絛畮㽴〳腊⢪欽굥⯕宐瘝〳ⱄ欰腊彂剏➿⻊瀖腊彂〄歏䎇鿈縭焫䯲꧋ծ㼓㶸ㄤⵄ欽$$64䪮助㼆剒絊偽岁剏䰃涸⻊瀖腊彂䨾❡欰涸✳孻⻊焫鵳遤㢅椚կ〳⟄溏ⴀ嶊餩⣩涸宠Ⲹꆀ僽㹊梡ꨪ焫鲮㘗涸ꅾ銳䩛媯կ腊彂鲮㘗㨼プ⠔䎃〄䋒䫣デշ騨遤⢪ㄐ䩧鸣Ⰼ椕ꨪ焫絑崸ո䲿ⴀ涸㹊梡ꨪ焫涸♲姿낢刿僽㼜Ⲹ㼱腊彂欽ꆀ⡲⚹䨾剣ꨪ焫䲃倶涸㛇炄ㄤ䲿կⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽姻僽宠Ⲹꆀծ腊彂欽ꆀⲸ㼱涸Ⱒꝶ䫋䩛⚹佅䭯ꨪ焫〄㾝䲿⣘✫禹絡䚍涸鍒Ɀ倰呩կⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽⚹佅䭯ꨪ焫〄㾝䲿⣘✫♧⚡禹絡䚍涸鍒Ɀ倰呩傁剣⸔✵焫Ⲹ䱗⿶腊鸣䊭㣐涸絑崸ㄤ爢⠔⟟⧩կ➢Ⰼ椕溏呏䰘蒔⠡v띌⯘榲㛇ꆄ⠔ㄤMaterialEconomics涸灇瑕➑㖈ꛩ꜈ծꜥծ宐岞ծ㝕俱ㄤ굹ㅷ❀⚡遤⚌鵳♧姿䲀䎛ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽ⵌ2050䎃涸庛㹔孞⡤䎃焫䱗佞㼜Ⲹ㼱93➉ょ湱䔲✵湡Ⰼ椕❜鸑鿈꡶涸焫䱗佞ꆀկ呏䰘䧮⟌涸灇瑕⚥㕂湱Ⱒⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌涸〄㾝〳㖈2020ⵌ2050䎃ꢂ㹊梡400➉ょ焫Ⲹ䱗㼆ꨪ焫鲮㘗餑柄桧馄30%կ㖈䨾剣곭㚖兜⿺幡峇腊彂䎾欽䲿넞幡峇腊彂⣘䎾錞垷Ⲹ㼱腊彂欽ꆀ䲀⸓䒊瘰ծ❜鸑鵘鳕ㄤ䊨⚌涸㣐錞垷幡峇歏孞⻊㖈偽岁㹊梡歏孞⻊涸곭㚖⢪欽孲腊⢪欽焫䯲꧋♸㼓㶸ⵄ欽ㄤ〳䭯絯欰暟腊膴焫ⶥ⡮欽腊곭㚖㼜ꨪ焫〄歏腊⸂䲿넞⦔㼜ꨪ焫孲孞❡ꆀ錞垷䪈㣐荛嫦䎃➉ょ䩧鸣欰暟敍俱ㄤざ䧭敍俱⣘䎾Ꝇ鿈縭刿넞佪涸霃㢊ծ鵘鳕垷䒭♸欰❡䊨蒌⢪欽刿㼱涸ⴲ紩勞俱䲿⣘湱ずㅷ餘涸㉁ㅷ佖」嶊餩倰䒭⢪欽刿㼱涸❡ㅷ♸剪⸉勻㹊梡湱ず涸欰崞ㅷ餘䩧鸣ⲙꨪ焫䱗佞絑崸涸⚡姿낢㕃䩧鸣ⲙꨪ焫䱗佞絑崸涸⚡姿낢XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區㕃♲㣐ꅾ挿곭㚖餴彂ⱄ欰涸Ⲹ䱗餑柄ㄤ䋑㖞錞垷⚥㕂ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽涸巑渷薴㔵䎛ծ絈ⴔ곭㚖㢴䧮⟌絾ざ罌贊♸♳鶣ꨪ焫腊彂鲮㘗䙼騟涸湱Ⱒ䏞⟄⿺鵯❈곭㚖涸䋑㖞悶⸂た霋ⵆⴀ넞署腊遤⚌ꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱涸❡ㅷⱄ欰ծ䏑䒙欰暟餘獯猠ծ卌⚌䏑䒙暟ծ欰崞㘏㖤ㄤ殌猐礋⤑腊彂⻊ⵄ欽⟄⿺歏⸓鲨⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐欽✵⪰腊瘝♲㣐곭㚖䒓㾝灇瑕կ劥灇瑕崵皾蕯⚥㕂銳㖈2050䎃㹊梡ꨪ焫䱗佞齡⛎㖈2020䎃ⵌ2050䎃鴪䧭涸稡雦Ⲹ䱗ꆀ⚥鵯♲⚡餴彂ⱄ欰ⵄ欽곭㚖〳㹊梡鵛400➉ょ焫Ⲹ䱗餑柄桧馄鵂30%կず傞ⵌ2050䎃鵯♲⚡ꅾ挿곭㚖鵮〳䕎䧭鵛3♰➉⯋涸䊭㣐䋑㖞կⰦ⚥넞署腊遤⚌涸❡ㅷⱄ欰䏑䒙欰暟餘腊彂⻊ⵄ欽➉ょ➉ょ➉ょⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽餑柄ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㼆⚥㕂䎃㹊梡ꨪ焫䱗佞涸餑柄桧31%歏⸓鲨⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐⪰腊ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽〳㹊梡鵛➉ょ焫Ⲹ䱗餑柄桧馄ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽䋑㖞悶⸂XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽䋑㖞悶⸂➢Ⰼ椕馋⸷溏ꥥ满馊勻馊㢴涸㕂㹻霃㹁✫焫⚥ㄤ䧴ꨪ焫湡叻ぐ㕂㼆䗄梠絑崸ㄤⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽䋑㖞悶⸂涸⥌䗱♶倗㟞䔂կ湱Ⱒ灇瑕邍僈⟄妍崍⚹⢾➑㖈❜鸑ծ䒊瘰梠㞯ㄤ굹ㅷ곭㚖㹊遤⟄ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽⚹⚺銳暵䖄涸䗄梠絑崸ⵌ2030䎃涸䎃絑崸佪渤㼜鴪ⵌ1.8♰➉妍⯋կ䚪⡤勻溏ㄤꨪ焫鲮㘗Ⱖ➭Ⱒꝶ䪮助곭㚖湱嫱ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽侮⡤涸䪮助ㄤ㉁⚌䧭擿䏞鳅넞剣劅㖈鵛劍ⰻ》䖤鳅〳錜涸䫏餴㔐䫣կ劢勻5䎃㼜僽ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽錞垷⻊ㄤ䫏餴⟟⧩」梡涸❁㌂劍ⵄ渤湱Ⱒ倰䎾䫋⡞劼麁䶰》鵯♧“⡛㘌涸卓㹊”կ㖈⚥㕂㥵♲㣐ꅾ挿곭㚖㹊梡ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽ⵌ2050䎃〳䕎䧭3♰➉⯋䋑㖞կ䏑ꛩ꜈㔐佐ⵄ欽䏑宐岞㔐佐ⵄ欽䏑ꜥ㔐佐ⵄ欽䏑㝕俱㔐佐ⵄ欽獯猠ㄤ卌⚌䏑䒙暟腊彂⻊ⵄ欽欰崞㘏㖤㔐佐ㄤ腊彂⻊ⵄ欽殌猐礋⤑㔐佐ㄤ腊彂⻊ⵄ欽⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐欽✵歏⸂禹絡⪰腊넞署腊遤⚌涸❡ㅷⱄ欰䏑䒙欰暟餘涸腊彂⻊ⵄ欽䗄梠絑崸⚥涸⪰腊䋑㖞ꅾ挿곭㚖ꅾ挿絈ⴔ곭㚖Ⱒꝶ瑲灶〡䋑㖞錞垷➉⯋➉⯋Ⱖ➭Ⱖ➭䏑剣蒀ծ䏑紺ծ鲰胢瘝➉⯋➉⯋➉⯋➉⯋➉⯋➉⯋➉⯋˖Ⱒ岤䒊瘰㘏㖤㔐佐ⵄ欽佟瘻湡叻鳅⚚涸㖑㚖⡲⚹幊ⳕ㕼㔐佐ⵄ欽䋑㖞ず傞㣐⸂〄㾝擿俱㔐佐䪮助˖㸤㊤䏑㝕俱佐꧋㢅椚禹絡렽⸠䏑㝕俱暟椚㔐佐㉁⚌垷䒭ㄤ⻊㷖㔐佐䪮助倝˖䲿⼮䏑ꜥ㢅椚⚹痗ざざꆄ䧭⟧ծ䚍腊銳宠涸䪮助宐䎂ㄤ䧭劥絑崸䚍˖烁⥂䏑ꛩ⣘䎾ծ䏑ꛩ㔐佐涸㘌湬侮ざꅾ挿Ⱒ岤&"'ꛩ꜈欰❡錞垷䭯絯䪈㣐涸馋⸷˖➢霃雦ծ⢪欽ծ⚗䒙ծ㢅椚ծ㔐佐ⱄ欽Ⰼ欰ㄐワ劍錭䏞ⴀ〄涸䪮助ㄤ㉁⚌垷䒭˖銻渷佐꧋ծ⸈䊨ծ鵘鳕ծⵄ欽涸Ⰼ❡⚌Ꝇ䒊霃䲀⸓㢴鸀䖈ծ넞꣡⸈⧩ⵄ欽˖㸤㊤欰崞㘏㖤ⴔ碫禹絡⺫䭍佐꧋霃㢊ծ㼓䒭鵘鳕ㄤ劣畮㢅縨瘝˖〄䮦殌猐礋⤑餴彂⠏⸷ծ絊畮庈麤餴彂⠏⸷䲿⼮腊彂⻊ⵄ欽䪮助宐䎂˖〳㣐錞垷ⵄ欽涸㉁⚌垷䒭倝ծ唑紩ㄤ餴彂⻊ⵄ欽瘝䪮助瑲灶㕃⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽ꅾ挿곭㚖瑲灶〡⿺䋑㖞錞垷XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/넞署腊遤⚌涸❡ㅷⱄ欰ⵌ2050䎃ꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱遤⚌涸❡ㅷ宠Ⲹꆀ䌴䏞〳鴪16%~53%⚂ⱄ欰❡ㅷ⽑䚪❡ꆀ嫱⢾〳넞鴪60%焫Ⲹ䱗悶⸂鴪230➉ょկꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱瘝䊨⚌⾲勞俱涸欰❡鵂玐⠔❡欰㣐ꆀ腊彂嶊署ㄤ焫䱗佞㹊梡ꨪ焫䧴㣐錞垷膴焫涸ꦼ䏞㣐կ湡遤⚌兜麑雩〳涸㹊梡♳鶣넞署腊❡⚌膴焫䩛媯⺫䭍⸈䔂餴彂ⱄ欰㹊梡宠ㄤ欰❡暟俱Ⲹꆀ⻊ծ鵳♧姿䲿넞腊佪ծ䲿넞歏孞⻊宐䎂ծ孲腊ㄤ欰暟餘瘝幡峇腊彂剏➿ծ鿈縭焫䯲꧋ծ㼓㶸ㄤⵄ欽CCUS瘝膴焫䪮助կ♸Ⱖ➭膴焫䩛媯湱嫱⸈䔂餴彂ⱄ欰ⵄ欽僈儑Ⱘ剣䪮助䧭擿䏞넞ծ䫏餴㔐䫣㣐ծ梡剣餴❡ⵄ欽䚍䔂瘝⠏⸷կ♳鶣遤⚌⚺銳〳䮔䱡⟄♴⚙⚡倰涸餴彂ⱄ欰悶⸂♧僽Ⲹ㼱㼆⾲勞俱䧴ⴲ紩❡ㅷ涸宠⚺銳䩛媯⺫䭍1㖈霃雦ㄤ嶊餩梠蒜Ⲹ㼱嵠餩罜꣭⡛⽀⡙❡ㅷ涸⾲勞俱宠ㄤ2鸑鵂Ⱏ❧涸㉁⚌垷䒭ㄤ㟞⸈❡ㅷ⢪欽㼑ㄐ勻꣭⡛蜦䖤⽀⡙剪⸉䨾涸❡ㅷꆀ✳僽Ⲹ㼱⽀⡙⾲勞俱䧴ⴲ紩❡ㅷ涸焫䱗佞⚺銳䩛媯⚹䲿⼮㔐佐勞俱欰❡剏➿ⴲ紩❡ㅷ涸⽑嫱կ㖈RMI涸2050ꨪ焫䞔兞♴ꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱遤⚌涸❡ㅷ宠Ⲹꆀ䌴䏞〳鴪16%~53%⚂❡ㅷ涸㔐佐ⱄ欽悶⸂㼜䖤ⵌ⯎ⴔꅺ佞կꛩ꜈곭㚖䎃❡ꆀ㼜歋湡涸紨10➉ょ♴꣭ⵌ2050䎃涸4.75➉ょ⟄䏑ꛩ꜈⚹⾲俱涸瀊崨玐ꛩ⽑ꛩ꜈䚪❡ꆀ涸嫱⢾㼜➢湡涸➑10%䊩〸♳⼮ⵌ60%鴪ⵌ湡〄鴪㕂㹻涸宐䎂կ鵯䠑满ⴲ紩ꛩ涸䎃❡ꆀ㼜➢湡涸9➉ょ♴꣭ⵌ2050䎃涸1.9➉ょ♸罌䞔兞嫱餑柄100➉ょⲸ䱗ꆀ2020䎃ⵌ2050䎃稡雦⧩⟄♴ず宐岞倰䎃❡ꆀ㼜➢湡紨24➉ょ♴꣭ⵌ2050䎃涸8➉ょ⚂ⱄ欰宐岞㼜⽑ⵌ䚪宐岞❡ꆀ涸35%♸罌䞔兞嫱餑柄75➉ょⲸ䱗ꆀկ㔐佐涸宐岞♧倰〳⟄欽⡲ⱄ欰幊ⳕ㕼ծ騟㛇勞俱ծ㔐㞅勞俱瘝Ⱖ䧭劥ㄤ⢪欽倝宐岞湱嫱Ⱘ剣♧㹁⠏⸷〥♧倰ꥥ满䪮助鵳姿〳➢䒊瘰㘏㖤⚥㔐佐劢擿⻊涸宐岞鵳遤ⱄ欽㖈ꜥ勞倰㽴盗⚥㕂ꜥ勞䎃❡ꆀ㼜➢湡3600♰ょ♳⼮ⵌ紨8900♰ょ⡎ⱄ欰ꜥ⽑嫱㼜➢16%㟞ⵌ2050䎃涸60%♸罌䞔兞嫱餑柄24➉ょⲸ䱗ꆀ㼆✵㝕俱罜鎊䎃❡ꆀ㼜➢湡涸8200♰ょ㼭䌴♳嶻ⵌ9500♰ょ⡎ⱄ欰㝕俱⽑嫱㼜➢湡涸23%䊩〸♳⼮ⵌ2050䎃涸60%♸罌䞔兞嫱餑柄30➉ょⲸ䱗ꆀկꛩ꜈❡ꆀꛩ꜈❡ꆀ354ꛩ꜈❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰ꛩ꜈⽑嫱354ⱄ欰ꛩ꜈⽑嫱;$4宐岞❡ꆀ宐岞❡ꆀ354宐岞❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰宐岞⽑嫱354ⱄ欰宐岞⽑嫱;$430%40%50%60%70%0.40.60.81.01.2➉ょꜥ勞❡ꆀ30%40%50%60%70%0.60.81.01.21.4➉ょ㝕俱❡ꆀ0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%0200400600800100012002020203020402050➉ょ0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%0500100015002000250030002020203020402050➉ょ㕃ꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱遤⚌涸❡ꆀ馋⸷ㄤ㔐佐悶⸂XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/勻彂.BUFSJBM&DPOPNJDT5IF$JSDVMBS&DPOPNZˊB1PXFSGVM'PSDFGPS$MJNBUF.JUJHBUJPO岤罌䞔兞RTS♴䪮助鵳姿ծ絑崸〄㾝ㄤ➃〡㟞馋⸷⥂䭯♶」❡ㅷ❡ꆀ⚺銳歋絑崸絕匬ㄤ欰崞宐䎂Ɀ㹁偽儑衼涸宠Ⲹꆀ䲃倶ㄤ㔐佐宐䎂䲿⼮ꨪ焫䞔兞ZCS♴⚥㕂㖈2050䎃㹊梡ꨪ焫䱗佞剣鳅儑衼涸宠Ⲹꆀ䲃倶ㄤ㔐佐宐䎂䲿⼮կ㕃⚥侨䰘⚹磦殜崵皾կ勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區湱鳅ⴲ紩❡ㅷ欰❡罜鎊⯎ⴔⵄ欽ⱄ欰餴彂涸欰❡騟䖈⚥ⱄ欰❡ㅷ涸焫䱗佞䔂䏞嫱⠛絡騟䖈欰❡涸ⴲ紩❡ㅷ⡛荛㼱60%կ鸑鵂宠Ⲹꆀㄤ⯎ⴔꅺ佞㔐佐ⱄ欽悶⸂鵯❈넞署腊遤⚌〳㖈2050䎃㹊梡넞鴪230➉ょ焫Ⲹ䱗կ2050䎃넞署腊遤⚌涸❡ㅷⱄ欰腊㢿㼜ꨪ焫䞔兞♴涸焫䱗佞鳅罌䞔兞꣭⡛50%⟄♳կ㕃ꛩ꜈ծ宐岞ծꜥㄤ㝕俱ⴲ紩❡ㅷㄤⱄ欰❡ㅷ涸焫䱗佞䔂䏞㼆嫱ꛩ꜈❡ꆀ354ꛩ꜈❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰ꛩ꜈⽑嫱354ⱄ欰ꛩ꜈⽑嫱;$4宐岞❡ꆀ354宐岞❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰宐岞⽑嫱354ⱄ欰宐岞⽑嫱;$40%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%0.00.20.40.60.81.01.22020203020402050➉ょꜥ勞❡ꆀꜥ勞❡ꆀ354ꜥ勞❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰ꜥ⽑嫱354ⱄ欰ꜥ⽑嫱;$40%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%0.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.42020203020402050➉ょ㝕俱❡ꆀ㝕俱❡ꆀ354㝕俱❡ꆀ;$4ⱄ欰㝕俱⽑嫱354ⱄ欰㝕俱⽑嫱;$420202030204020502020203020402050U$0Uꛩ꜈U$0Uꜥ勞U$0U㝕俱U$0U宐岞ⴲ紩❡ㅷ㔐佐❡ㅷXXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區䏑䒙欰暟餘腊彂⻊ⵄ欽ⱚ⡲暟獯猠ծ卌⚌䏑䒙暟ծ欰崞㘏㖤ㄤ殌猐礋⤑涸腊彂⻊ⵄ欽悶⸂넞鴪荛㼱3.7➉ょ叻撋/䎃㼜㖈2050䎃餑柄130➉ょ涸焫Ⲹ䱗2050䎃䋑㖞錞垷䱹鵛6000➉⯋կ㕃⚥㕂䏑䒙欰暟餘腊彂⻊ⵄ欽悶⸂䏑䒙欰暟餘〳⟄剣㢴猫絾ざⵄ欽鸀䖈⺫䭍⟄勞俱ծ暟俱涸䕎䒭鄄ⵄ欽⟄⿺⟄腊彂涸䕎䒭鄄ⵄ欽瘝Ⱘ剣㢴猫〳腊涸ⱄ欰ⵄ欽㖞兞կ劥灇瑕➑⟄腊彂⻊ⵄ欽⚹⢾㼆⚥㕂䏑䒙欰暟餘涸ⱄⵄ欽悶⸂鵳遤㣐荝⠮皾կ⚥㕂涸䏑䒙欰暟餘腊彂⻊ⵄ欽⚺銳僽䭷㼆ⱚ⡲暟獯猠ծ卌⚌䏑䒙暟ծ欰崞㘏㖤ㄤ殌猐礋⤑涸腊彂⻊ⵄ欽˙⚥㕂獯猠涸腊彂⻊ⵄ欽⚺銳꧋⚥✵“㔋⻊♧歏”⽰㔿⻊ծ挦⻊ծ孞⻊ծ巊⻊ㄤ〄歏傁腊鍒Ɀ獯猠ꥥ䠑⚗䒙❡欰涸梠㞯寓厩곿⿶腊䲿⣘幡峇腊彂僽獯猠絾ざⵄ欽涸ꅾ銳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➉ょ叻撋ⱚ⡲暟獯猠卌⚌䏑䒙暟欰崞㘏㖤殌猐礋⤑XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/歏⸓导鲨歏寑㔐佐欽✵⪰腊歏⸓导鲨⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐䋑㖞㼜䭯絯䪈䓎ⵌ2050䎃㔐佐⸓⸂歏寑㼜䧭⚹歏⸂禹絡⪰腊⚺⸂⛓♧䋑㖞錞垷〳鴪荛㼱1145➉⯋կ歏⸓导鲨涸䏑傊⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐ⵄ欽♧菚ⴔ⚹唑妃ⵄ欽ㄤ䬒鍒ⵄ欽⚙猫䕎䒭կ唑妃ⵄ欽⽰歋✵歏寑㺂ꆀ꣭⡛⢪Ⱖ㖈歏⸓鲨⚥偽岁姻䌢〄䮦⡲欽⡎歏寑尵剣䫣䏑➠〳欽✵歏⸂禹絡⪰腊瘝Ⱖ➭䎾欽կ䬒鍒ⵄ欽ⴭ僽㼜歏寑鵳遤餴彂⻊㢅椚㔐佐剣ⵄ欽⟟⧩涸ⱄ欰餴彂㥵ծꝊ瘝ꆄ㾩կ㖈ꨪ焫腊彂鲮㘗⚥䏑傊⸓⸂歏寑涸㔐佐ⱄ欽腊⚹歏⸂禹絡⪰腊䲿⣘湱䔲㣐涸⪰腊㺂ꆀկ衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾곫崵罌贊ⵌ鿈ⴔ䏑傊歏寑㼜湬䱹鵳遤䬒鍒㔐佐䧴欽✵Ⱖ➭欽鸀蕯剣50%欽✵歏⸂禹絡⪰腊ⵌ2050䎃䏑傊歏寑㔐佐欽✵歏⸂禹絡⪰腊涸椚雿悶⸂㼜䱹鵛590GWh湱䔲✵㖈歏⸂禹絡⪰腊䚪㺂ꆀ涸37%կ㥵卓鵯鿈ⴔ悶⸂鄄⯎ⴔⵄ欽㼜⚹歏⸂禹絡䲿⣘刿㢴涸抳崞䚍餴彂⚹刿㢴撋歏鷍䕶鸣勵⟝➢罜⚹歏⸂鿈꡶膴焫䲿⣘佅丒կ䭽撑姼鹤鳓崵皾鸑鵂㔐佐䏑傊⸓⸂歏寑欽✵歏⸂禹絡⪰腊❡欰涸撋歏剏➿䨾䌄勻涸焫Ⲹ䱗㖈2020䎃ⵌ2050䎃ꢂ稡雦㼜鴪ⵌ8➉ょ⚂2050䎃䋑㖞錞垷〳鴪荛㼱1145➉⯋կꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂❡⚌〄㾝馋⸷XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/餴彂䲿⣘ⵖ鸣⢪欽䏑䒙㔐佐㢅椚禹絡佅䭯⾲絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭梠蒜ⱄ欰ⵄ欽垷䒭倝㟞梠蒜勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂❡⚌〄㾝馋⸷ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽涸⸆腊僽佖」⠛絡涸絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭䕎䧭餴彂ⵄ欽涸梠կ⠛絡涸絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭嶍⿺涸ぐ梠蒜⺫䭍餴彂䲿⣘ծⵖ鸣ծ⢪欽ㄤ剒た涸䏑䒙կ罜ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽涸垷䒭ꤑ✫♳鶣梠蒜⛓㢪鵮⺫䭍㔐佐ծ㢅椚ㄤⱄ欽瘝կ湱䎾㖑絆䧭ㄤ♸ぐ梠蒜涸ⵄ渤湱Ⱒ倰ꤑ✫絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭⚥涸餴彂䲿⣘罏ծⵖ鸣罏ծ⢪欽罏㢪鵮⺫䭍✫⚙⚡碫㘗涸湱Ⱒ倰⺫䭍㔐佐罏ծ㢅椚罏ծⱄ欽罏㖈ⰻ涸鍒Ɀ倰呩䲿⣘罏ծ⤛鵳侮⚡䗄梠Ꝇ勵刿剣佪〄㾝涸禹絡佅䭯罏錛㕃կⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽㖈ꅾ挿❡⚌涸䒸Ⰶ♶➑㼜剣⸔✵㹊梡⚥㕂涸ꨪ焫㕃兞鵮㼜⤛鵳❡⚌䕎䙖涸⼮紩㖈⣘絛ծ嶊餩ծ鳇⸔剪⸉瘝㢴⚡梠蒜鸣倝涸䋑㖞❡欰䊭㣐涸㉁⚌⟟⧩կ㖈ꨪ焫㕃兞♴餴彂ⱄ欰ⵄ欽湱Ⱒ䋑㖞涸䒓㼜⚹♶ず涸♸倰䌄勻湱䎾涸劼麁鵯❈劼麁傁勻荈倝梠蒜涸❡欰⛲勻荈倝⚌䙖♴涸ぐ梠蒜ꢂ涸✽⸓կ❡⚌〄㾝♶ⱄ➑➑僽⽀♧涸餴彂䲿⣘ⵖ鸣⢪欽䏑䒙絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭罜僽鸑鵂倝㟞涸䗄梠Ꝇ勵䕎䧭♧⚡Ⰼ倝涸緸朐⚌⸉欰䙖䧮⟌㼜溏ⵌぐ遤⚌❡⚌Ꝇ䕎䙖涸〄㾝ッ梡㢴⯋⻊ծ✽翫⻊ㄤ鷳僈⻊涸暵挿⢪䖤魧㢅倝欰䙖⚥涸㉁ㅷⵖ鸣罏ծ鍒Ɀ倰呩䲿⣘罏ㄤ禹絡佅䭯罏剣劼⠔䪪ⵌ湱嫱絁䚍〄㾝垷䒭涸倝㟞䋑㖞㹊梡⚌⸉㟞ㄤ䕧ㆇ⸂䲿⼮涸⿽饒կ劥畎蒜㼜ⴔ區ぐ絈ⴔ곭㚖涸❡⚌䕎䙖悶㖈涸〄㾝馋⸷⟄⿺ぐⵄ渤湱Ⱒ倰涸⡲欽劼ⵖㄤ湱䎾涸劼麁կ㕃ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽垷䒭⚥涸ぐ梠蒜ㄤ湱Ⱒ倰XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/䏑ꛩ㔐佐ⵄ欽劢勻⚥㕂䏑ꛩ餴彂ꆀ⯎駈㼜⸔䲀䏑ꛩ㔐佐❡⚌Ꝇ錞垷⻊ծ錞薴⻊〄㾝կ2020䎃⚥㕂䏑ꛩꆀ馄鵂2.2➉ょ/䎃2020䎃たꥥ满㕂ⰻ䏑ꛩ⣘䎾ꆀ涸㟞㕂ⰻ䏑ꛩ⣘䎾㼜㛇劥忘駈㕂ⰻ鲮拝ㄤ歏拝⾊涸宠2030䎃馄鵂3.05➉ょ/䎃կ➢䏑ꛩ勻彂溏ꥥ满⚥㕂鵳Ⰶ䊨⚌⻊た劍㙹䋑䒊霃涸ꛩ勞餴彂㣐ꆀ獤稡կず傞导鲨ㄤ㹻歏罣欽ㅷ瘝鵓勻希寧劍䌄勻✫⯎駈涸爢⠔䏑ꛩ餴彂կ㽴盗荈❡䏑ꛩꆀⲸ㼱⡎䏑ꛩ餴彂䚪ꆀ➠㖈♶倗㟞⸈կ姼㢪〳곫錛涸䏑ꛩ鵳〡ꣳⵖ佞䒓⛲㼜䲿⣘♧鿈ⴔ涸䏑ꛩ餴彂կ♸姼ず傞㕂ⰻꛩ꜈荈絛桧涸⾓⸂⛲⚹⸈鸟䏑ꛩ㔐佐ⵄ欽餻腊կ歋✵㕂ⰻ꜈瀤䒓ꅷ䧭劥鳅넞ծㅷ⡙鳅⡛㕂ⰻ꜈瀤⣘絛偽岁㣐䌴ꅺ佞㟞ꆀꦼ⟄䧭⚹䲿⼮꜈ꆄ㾩荈絛桧涸ꅾ銳佅丒挿կշⰢ✵䲀⸓ꛩ꜈䊨⚌넞餘ꆀ〄㾝涸䭷㼋䠑錛ո䖄宠䠑錛珳⛲䲿ⴀ✫2025䎃㕂ⰻ꜈ꆄ㾩荈絛桧鴪ⵌ45%涸湡叻կꥥ满䏑ꛩ餴彂⸈䘯ꅺ佞ㄤ꜈ꆄ㾩荈絛桧䲿⼮銳宠涸僈烁ぐ騟餴劥䊺⸈䘯㼆䏑ꛩ❡⚌涸䋒㽷㽍Ⱖ僽꧋⚥㖈♳康䬒鍒㔐佐ㄤ⚥康⸈䊨梠蒜կ㖈鵯♧馋⸷♴㣐ꛩ⟱銳〄䮦㘌湬侮ざ⠏⸷鸑鵂䱍䳣ㄤꂁ縨䏑ꛩ餴彂庈麤Ⲹ㼱㼆꜈瀤瀖涸⣜饆կ罜㼆✵䏑ꛩ㔐佐⟱⚌勻霹瑲灶〡㖈✵⚁⚌䏞ㄤ錞薴䏞涸䲿⼮ず傞⛲〳Ⱒ岤ㄤ㣐ꛩ⟱鵳遤侮ざ涸劼⠔կꥥ满ꛩ꜈遤⚌歏拝ꛩ欰❡嫱⢾䲿⼮⟄䏑ꛩ⚹⾲俱涸ⴔ䋒䒭欰❡垷䒭ⴀ梡䎇鷶幯〄㾝կ♸崨玐捃ꛩ涸㣐錞垷〄㾝垷䒭♶ず⟄䏑ꛩ⚹⾲俱涸瀊崨玐ꛩ꜈欰❡⠔䌄勻倝涸ⴔ䋒䒭欰❡㉁⚌垷䒭կ鵯猫垷䒭Ⱘ剣絑崸䚍넞ծ錞垷抳崞ծ鷥㖧㢴呋瘝⠏⸷կ㖈鵯♧倝㉁⚌垷䒭♴䫏餴ㄤ鵘蠒䧭劥〳呏䰘❡腊ㄤ❡ꆀ宠抳崞靈侮倰⤑稒龇⾲俱䧴䋑㖞涸ⴔ䋒䒭欰❡垷䒭涸㛆肫կⵄ欽䏑ꛩ涸歏拝欰❡㖈⚎⽂屠嵳瘝䏑ꛩ餴彂鳅⚪㺢涸㖑⼓㼜刿⚹䌢錛կ劍勻溏ꥥ满劢勻⚥㕂ꛩ꜈❡ꆀ곫劍涸♴꣭㥵卓㛇✵䏑ꛩ涸瀊崨玐欰❡刿剣䧭劥絑崸䚍㕂ⰻ鵮〳腊ⴀ梡ꛩ꜈❡腊鲮獴կず傞ⰻ꣣歏拝ꛩ欰❡〳⯎ⴔⵄ欽ⴔ䋒䎛岌涸䏑ꛩ䎇㽠鵛欰❡䧭ㅷꛩկ❡ㅷ嶊餩䏑ꛩ㔐佐䏑ꛩ⸈䊨䏑ꛩ館僒ꛩ꜈欰❡❡ㅷ⸈䊨䏑ꛩ㔐佐ⵄ欽櫕곯䮋䧶餴彂䱍䱽腊⸂劼⠔璬〡兜鸑䏑ꛩ㔐佐䲿넞絆絉⻊玐䏞导鲨ծ菺菱㔐佐瘝䲿⼮䪮助宐䎂櫕곯䮋䧶䪮助宐䎂劼⠔璬〡⸈䊨⟱⚌錞薴⻊ծ㣐㘗⻊〄㾝佟瘻렽⸠瀊劍ⰻ㔿㹁餴❡䫏餴䪈䓎䌄勻涸霃㢊䋑㖞櫕곯䮋䧶㹐䨪餴彂꡶地劼⠔璬〡㣐⟱⚌⦶⸔⾲剣⣘䎾Ꝇ餴彂暟翫緸ծ䊨⚌✽翫緸ծ兰䢴ⵖ鸣瘝⥌䜂⻊䩛媯㱣䱹櫕곯䮋䧶䏑ꛩⵄ欽宐䎂劼⠔璬〡㣐⟱⚌荈❡䏑ꛩꆀ㣐涸⠏⸷㘌湬侮ざ䲿⼮⸈䊨䏑ꛩծ爢⠔䏑ꛩ餴彂䱍䱽腊⸂櫕곯䮋䧶䏑ꛩⵄ欽宐䎂劼⠔璬〡㘌湬侮ざ䲿⼮⸈䊨䏑ꛩ涸ⵄ欽宐䎂⟄⿺悶㖈涸佐餝鄄佐餝劼⠔勻彂衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾ⴔ區㕃䏑ꛩ㔐佐ⵄ欽❡⚌Ꝇぐ梠蒜䮋䧶ㄤ劼⠔璬〡/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁/宐岞㔐佐ⵄ欽䏑ꜥ㔐佐ⵄ欽歋✵宐岞欰❡ㄤ鵘鳕涸劥㖑⻊暵挿劢勻宐岞㔐佐ⱄ欰䋑㖞㼜Ⱘ剣僈儑涸㖑⼓㾩䚍կ劥㖑⻊暵挿䠑满湱Ⱒ涸劼麁⚺銳勻荈⟄♴⚙⚡倰կ껷⯓Ⱘ剣爙薴䠑⛐ㄤ䒸곭⡲欽涸⼓㚖䚍佟瘻湡叻⠔㼆劥㖑䋑㖞涸桧⯓䄕饰饰ⵌ鳅㣐涸䲀⸓⡲欽կ㼆✵剣僈烁罜䔂⸂涸佟瘻佅䭯涸㖑倰䋑㖞悶⸂刿㺂僒鄄䒓〄կⰌ㕂湡䊺剣⚡䒊瘰㘏㖤屛椚霚挿㙹䋑鿈ⴔ溁䋑䊺䲿ⴀ鳅넞涸䒊瘰㘏㖤㔐佐ⵄ欽湡叻կ湱Ⱒ佟瘻湡叻涸僈烁㼜䲀⸓䕎䧭䒊瘰㘏㖤涸傍劍䋑㖞⚹剣ꣳ涸䫏輑餴餴彂⠏⻊ꂁ縨䲿⣘罌կ痦✳歋✵⟄宐岞⚹➿邍涸䒊瘰㘏㖤涸❡欰ㄤ㔐佐鵂玐尵剣㖑⼓䊵䒗⼓㚖䚍涸餴彂㔐佐ⵄ欽垷䒭涸〳㢕ⵖ䚍鳅넞〳鳅㺂僒㖑⦶ꊹ♧⚡霚挿涸絑낉䲀䎛刿㢴霚挿կ瀊劍勻溏㔐佐ⵄ欽Ꝇ勵涸䕎䧭銳佟瘻佅䭯ㄤ霚挿고湡涸䱲程䕎䧭〳遤涸垷䒭劍勻溏⟄宐岞⚹➿邍涸䒊瘰㘏㖤㔐佐㼜鷶姿䕎䧭䧭擿❡⚌կ歋✵ⱄ欰ꜥⰨ剣鳅㥩涸絑崸䚍ㄤ梠㞯⿼㥩䚍䋑㖞䪈䓎馋⸷僈儑կꜥꆄ㾩剣鳅䔂涸䫒臱赤䚍〳⟄㢴妃䗄梠ⵄ欽〳㔐佐腊⸂䔂㔔姼⢪欽㔐佐涸䏑ꜥ欰❡ꜥざꆄ嫱欽⾲ꜥ欰❡Ⱘ剣儑衼涸絑崸⠏⸷կ㖈梠㞯⿼㥩䚍倰♸欰❡瘝ꆀ⾲ꜥ湱嫱ⱄ欰ꜥ腊署➑⚹罏涸3%~5%嫦欰❡1ょⱄ欰ꜥ〳蒜紨3.4ょ叻ⲥ撋14ょ宐Ⲹ㼱㔿⡤䏑䒙暟䱗佞20ょկ姼㢪湡❜鸑곭㚖䊺絑僽ⱄ欰ꜥ涸剒㣐䋑㖞㖈导鲨鲽ꆀ⻊涸馋⸷♴ⱄ欰ꜥ涸宠鵮剣劅鄄鵳♧姿䬘⸓կ湡ꜥ涸㔐佐ㄤⱄⵄ欽䊺湱㼆㹊梡錞垷⻊ㄤ錞薴⻊⡎㔐佐梠蒜鵮剣䖉鵳♧姿䲿넞佪桧剣劅ⴀ梡倝涸⚌䙖侮ざ垷䒭կ㖈⼧♲❀劍ꢂꜥ涸㔐佐ⵄ欽宐䎂鵳姿鳅䘯䊺䕎䧭꧋㔙䚍涸ⱄ欰ꜥ⟱⚌㥵倝呔꧋㔙ծ用⚥꧋㔙ծ곡㕂꧋㔙瘝կず傞䊺剣湱䎾涸遤⚌錞薴鸣葻㥩涸䋑㖞〄㾝梠㞯կ搬罜歋✵ⱄ欰ꜥ宠ꆀ㣐⚂㟞鴽鸟㖈ⱄ欰ꜥ㔐佐梠蒜⽰⤑姻㖈䘯鸟侮ざ⡎歋✵㔐佐梠蒜➠湱㼆ⴔ侔ㄤ⡛佪鵮偽岁忘駈⸈䊨ⵄ欽⟱⚌涸宠կ㖈姼馋⸷♴剣劅䕎䧭剣䎸涸ծ㣐錞垷涸ⱄ欰ꜥ⣘絛⡤禹կⰦ⚥♧㣐劼麁㖈✵❡⚌Ꝇ⚥倝梠蒜涸ⴀ梡⢾㥵꧋⚥䒭ծ⼓㚖䚍涸䏑ꜥ㔐佐ㄤꂁ鷐⚥䗱涸ⴀ梡》➿ꨪ侔涸㔐佐挿〥♧劼麁㖈✵♳♴康❡⚌Ꝇ涸侮ざㄤ❜僒梠蒜涸礵皍կ⢾㥵ꜥ欰❡⟱⚌侮ざ䏑ꜥ㔐佐ㄤ㢅椚梠蒜湬䱹ⵄ欽䏑ꜥ⾲俱⿶㥵歏㶩❡ㅷ⟱⚌ծ导鲨⟱⚌瘝♴康ꜥ宠倰湬䱹㼆䱹ⱄ欰ꜥ⟱⚌䕎䧭⾲俱⣘䎾涸梠կ㝕俱㔐佐ⵄ欽㼆✵㝕俱罜鎊㔐佐ⱄⵄ欽悶⸂涸⯎ⴔꅺ佞㼜㣐㣐꣭⡛㝕俱欰❡㼆ⴲ紩⾲俱涸宠կⵌ2050䎃䧮㕂ⱄ欰㝕俱⽑䚪❡ꆀ涸嫱⢾㼜鴪ⵌ60%罜湡涸宐䎂➑⚹23%䊩〸կず傞㝕俱涸䎾欽巑渷✫㣐ꆀぢ嶊餩罏涸遤⚌㔐佐ⱄⵄ欽㼜⤛鵳刿㢴倝ㄤ䠑❡⚌涸㉁⚌⻊傁䧭⚹⟱⚌㖈〳䭯絯〄㾝⚺곿♴涸畊✰⠏⸷⛲䧭⚹䲀⸓䗄梠絑崸〄㾝涸⸂ꆀկꥥ满⚥㕂㾀字欰崞宐䎂涸䲿넞㝕俱宠ꆀ㼜絩絯⥂䭯䚪⡤㟞馋⸷劢勻㝕俱㔐佐❡⚌涸餴彂⣘䎾⯎駈⡎銳㸤㊤涸㔐佐Ꝇ勵ㄤ♶倗䲿⼮涸䪮助宐䎂勻乃⸓䋑㖞կ湡⚥㕂涸䎃➃㖲㝕俱嶊餩ꆀ㖈45kg䊩〸僽⚺銳〄鴪㕂㹻涸♧⼱䊩〸կꥥ满欰崞宐䎂涸䭯絯䲿⼮㝕俱宠ꆀ鵮㼜絩絯♳嶻㝕俱㔐佐❡⚌䋑㖞錞垷〳錜կ㝕俱㔐佐ⵄ欽悶⸂涸ꅺ佞⚺銳勻荈✵⚙倰⽰歋㔐佐⡤禹㸤㊤䌄⸓涸暟椚㔐佐宐䎂䲿⼮ㄤ歋䪮助鵳姿끮⸓涸⻊㷖㔐佐䋑㖞涸䪈䓎կ湡⚥㕂涸㝕俱㔐佐㛇劥僽䊨蒌鳅皍⽀涸暟椚㔐佐㶸㖈❡ㅷ꣭紩瘝瀊匣偽岁❡ⴀ꣡⸈⧩鳅넞涸㝕俱❡ㅷ罜⻊㷖㔐佐㼜䧭⚹㝕俱㔐佐⚥刿㣐涸ⵄ嶹寑կ䧮⟌곫雦2030䎃㼜僽㝕俱暟椚㔐佐悶⸂⯎ⴔꅺ佞ծ⻊㷖㔐佐䋑㖞䒓㨤䘯鸟㟞涸蒜挿կ➢䪮助馋⸷溏腊㼜䏑㝕俱㔐䔱ⵌⴔ㶩㽻紩鵳遤ꅾ倝絆絉➢罜䬪㺈❡ㅷ碫㘗涸⻊㷖㔐佐⠔僽劢勻涸♧㣐ꅾ挿կXXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/䏑䒙欰暟餘涸腊彂⻊ⵄ欽➢瀊劍溏湡⚥㕂䏑䒙欰暟餘腊彂⻊ⵄ欽涸䮋䧶㖈✵鵯❈欰暟餘餴彂涸佐꧋ꦼ䏞ㄤ鳅넞涸䧭劥Ⱖ⚺銳⾲㔔僽錞垷鳅㼭⚂鳅⚹ⴔ侔涸欰暟餘勻彂կ㖈劢勻ꥥ满㙹䋑⻊鵳玐涸䲀鵳ㄤ爢⠔絑崸絕匬涸」⻊悶㖈涸㕼㖑꧋紨⻊欰❡ㄤⱚ卌暜㖞瘝涸㣐錞垷䪬⺫垷䒭㼜儑衼䲿⼮䏑䒙欰暟餘餴彂涸㔐佐佪桧䧭劥⛲㼜㣐㣐꣭⡛կꛏ㼆㔐佐鵂玐劢勻劼唒⻊ⱚ卌⚌涸兜⿺㼜䲀⸓㔐佐ⵄ欽♧⡤⻊崨玐涸䩧鸑կ㖈姼馋⸷♴劢勻䏑䒙欰暟餘涸㣐錞垷㔐佐ㄤⵄ欽〳腊⠔Ⱘ剣㖑㚖暵挿⽰刿〳腊㶸㖈㣐錞垷ծ꧋紨⻊ⱚ⚌ㄤ暜⚌涸㖑⼓〳桧⯓䋒㽷⯎ⴔⵄ欽䏑䒙欰暟餘餴彂⚪㺢⟄⿺劼唒⻊䎾欽瑟ꢂ㣐涸⠏⸷կꛏ㼆⢪欽鵂玐䏑䒙欰暟餘ⱄⵄ欽㼜⠔刿⨊ꅾ✵넞꣡⸈⧩䎾欽կ㖈腊彂⻊ⵄ欽倰湱䎾涸劼麁⺫䭍䧭㘗敍俱ծ巊⡤敍俱ծ孞⡤敍俱欰❡瘝կⰦ⚥腊剣⸂䲀⸓錞垷⻊涸䪮助ꅾ挿㼜꧋⚥㖈⚙倰♧僽倝㘗敍俱䪮助瑲灶⺫䭍ⱚ卌暜䏑䒙暟ⵖ菔瑟撋屘ծ欰暟叝屘ㄤ⛩ꃫ瘝✳僽錞垷⻊䊨玐䒊霃㥵欰暟㣔搬孞䊨玐ծ㣐⚥㘗屜孞䊨玐⟄⿺㣐㘗欰暟餘ꝍ拝⡛宆敍掔Ⱒꝶ䪮助瘝կ倝♧➿嶊餩罏涸〳䭯絯䠑霋䄕饰鷅宠綁蒀❡ㅷㄤ⺫鄳涸䠑䡦♶倗⸈䔂㼜䲀⸓ぐ㣐嶊餩ㅷⰖ䒓㾝Ⲹ㼱㝕俱涸⢪欽ծ⢪欽㔐佐㝕俱ㄤ䒓㾝㝕俱㔐佐遤⸓կ呏䰘Ⳮ䏞ㅐ霧涸靈灇絕卓93%涸⚥㕂嶊餩罏雩⚹⾊㉁䧴ㅷ晥㖈Ⲹ㼱涯蒀㘏㖤♳⨞䖤♶㢿罜Ⲹꆀծ剏➿⟄⿺ꅾ㢕ⵄ欽㝕俱僽➭⟌雩⚹⾊㉁䎾霪ꅷ》涸ꅾ銳䲃倶կ㖈鵯♧馋⸷♴ぐ⾊㉁䧴ㅷ晥⛲䊺㖈❡ㅷ灇〄ծ欰❡ծ蠒ꝈㄤꝈ㈒梠蒜㾝䒓䋒㽷կ⢾㥵翫ざⵄ⼶㖈鵛Ⳝ䎃䲀ⴀ涸Ⰼ倝ㅷ晥蔄悂僤椕❡ㅷ櫕魧ꅷ欽100%PCRⱄ欰㝕俱⺫鄳猰괃孒➢2018䎃㽠䒓㨤䲀ⴀ瑟櫕㔐佐雦ⴢ렽⸠嶊餩罏㼜瑟櫕䌄ⵌ厷〵鵳遤㔐佐䰃》獤ⴔ⯣䰃爞ㅷ⚹嶊餩罏♸瑟櫕㔐佐䲿⣘䭯絯慨⸠〳〡〳⛙Ⱆ♶➑鸑鵂ⲙ忢Ⱆ渤崞⸓翸꧋嶊餩罏♸䏑ㅷ㔐佐鵮鸑鵂♸㥩櫕涸ざ⡲䲀ⴀⱄ欰㝕俱ⵖ䧭涸梠⥂惐ㅷ⺫䭍13⚡㔐佐㝕俱櫕ⱄ欰罜勻涸“㖈⛖邆”ㄤ24⚡㝕俱櫕ⱄ欰罜䧭涸“24⺫”Ⱖ⚥24⺫嫦⽁ⴀ24⚡鵮腊⚹拇⼓㢴䯩饐♧곝佹拇䋣瞆կ鵯❈勻荈✵⟱⚌涸遤⸓♶➑雮㝕俱㔐佐䧭⚹梡韌⛲鸑鵂㢴⯋涸䠑⚪㺢✫〳䭯絯ㄤ⡛焫欰崞涸ⰻ巑剣⸔✵⤛鵳嶊餩罏䠑霋涸♶倗䔂⻊⤛鵳䗄梠絑崸椚䙁㖈㣐⠍ㄤ遤⚌⚥涸兜⿺կず傞㝕俱㔐佐ⵄ欽❡⚌涸〄㾝㼜⪶欰倝涸㉁⚌剪⸉䕎䙖Ⱖ⸓㔔⺫䭍倝⟟⧩Ꝇ梠蒜涸❡欰⟄⿺倝涸✽⸓Ⱒ禹涸䕎䧭ㄤ⸈䔂կ㝕俱欰❡涸♴康⟱⚌⽰嶊餩ㅷⰖ鸑鵂㼆㝕俱㔐佐ㄤⱄ欰㝕俱⢪欽倰傈渤㟞涸慨⸠劼ⵖ⪶欰✫倝涸剪⸉㘗⟱⚌կ⢾㥵㥩櫕⚁岤✵欽㝕俱櫕ⱄ欰ⴀぐ碫❡ㅷ涸倰呩鍒Ɀ絕ざ✫㝕俱㔐佐ծ霃雦ծ欰❡瘝梠蒜կ⿶⢾㥵岲榰梠⥂Ⱆ满ꅾ㔐佐鵂玐䲿⣘絁♴㔐佐倰呩涸霃雦ծ⼸靈ㄤ䪄遤鸑鵂猰괃孒ծ넞ꪪ峇ծ妍莞⚸ծ昶藃蛁瘝Ⱆ涸呩⢾獤稡鷶幯䕎䧭㖈⚥㕂鵳遤㝕俱㔐佐涸⚁⚌䚍կず傞㖈倝涸⟟⧩Ꝇ⚥✽⸓Ⱒ禹涸䕎䧭ㄤ⸈䔂⛲㼜⚹侨㶶⻊䪮助涸䎾欽鸣✫倝涸䋑㖞宠㹊梡㝕俱㔐佐涸⥌䜂彷彂ծ餴彂侮ざㄤ遤⸓靈䏞կXXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/歏⸓导鲨⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐欽✵⪰腊赡搬䋑㖞兞䎛ꢢ⡎䪮助ㄤ䋑㖞➠㢅㖈蟟蔠劍կ霪❡⚌䭯絯⨴䐀〄㾝涸⚙㣐满⸂挿僽䭯絯涸䪮助瑲灶ㄤ鵳♧姿涸䋑㖞錞薴կ湱䎾涸❡⚌䕎䙖〄㾝劼麁⛲㼜ㄤ鵯⚙倰䜂䜂湱Ⱒկ㖈佟瘻㽻䲀⸓遤⚌叻ⲥ⻊鵳玐涸佟瘻錞薴㼜⚹䋑㖞涸匬䒊鸣剣ⵄ梠㞯կ⢾㥵2020䎃1剢㖈㕂㹻㽻〄䋒շ倝腊彂导鲨䏑傊⸓⸂襴歏寑絾ざⵄ欽遤⚌錞薴勵⟝2019䎃劥ոㄤշ倝腊彂导鲨䏑傊⸓⸂襴歏寑絾ざⵄ欽遤⚌錞薴Ⱆデ盗椚兽遤⸅岁2019䎃劥ո䲀⸓✫彷彂⥌䜂禹絡ㄤ䏑傊歏寑絾ざⵄ欽侨䰘䎽涸䒊用鵯㼜䲿넞♶ず猫碫ծ♶ず朐䙖涸歏寑⥌䜂涸鷳僈䏞կ佟瘻㽻涸錞薴㼆✵㢅✵傍劍蟟蔠媯涸⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐❡⚌勻霹Ⱘ剣ꅾ銳䠑⛐կ㖈䪮助㽻Ⱒꝶ䪮助瑲灶挿㖈✵歏寑唑妃ⵄ欽⚥涸歏寑♧荝䚍곿湱䎾涸劼麁僽禹絡⻊鍒Ɀ倰呩涸䱲程կ歏寑涸♧荝䚍⽰歏寑⺫ⰻⰌ鿈歏蓿Ⰼ欰ㄐワ劍ⰻⰌ鿈暵䚍侨涸♧荝僽唑妃ⵄ欽고湡곡ⵄ鵘遤涸Ⱒꝶկ歋✵歏寑ⴀ⾊傞涸䚍腊霃縨♶ず⚂⢪欽傞涸⯎歏倰岁ծ庛䏞㖞㖲⺣䚍ծ荈佞歏䊵䒗瘝㢴ꅾ㔔稇⛲㶸㖈䊵䒗歏⸓鲨⸓⸂歏寑㖈鷍䕶傞歏寑㺂ꆀⴔ䋒匧♶㖲⺣騗䏞➢ⴲ㨤㺂ꆀ涸50%ⵌ80%♶瘝鵯㼜㣐䌴㟞⸈た劍涸鵘絶䧭劥⛲㶸㖈♧㹁㸝Ⰼꥧ䝖կ銳鍒Ɀ鵯♧곿㖈⸓⸂歏寑䚍腊邝Ⲹ劼椚ㄤ歏寑⨴䐀朐䙖霉⟟瘝倰涸䊨⡲㽍⚹ꅾ銳կ㖈侮⚡❡⚌Ꝇ㽻湱䎾劼麁㖈✵䩧鸑♳♴康ぐ梠蒜涸餴彂侮ざㄤ䋒㽷կ㖈䏑傊⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐곭㚖㼿劢ⴀ梡⠏⸷僈儑涸륫㣢⟱⚌կ銳䮔䱡錞垷⻊〄㾝悶⸂〳殆䠑❡⚌Ꝇ⚥♶ず⟱⚌侮ざ涸劼⠔⢾㥵唑紩ⵄ欽♸䬒鍒ⵄ欽⟱⚌歏寑欰❡⟱⚌♸歏寑㔐佐⟱⚌ծⱄ欰ⵄ欽⟱⚌♸餴彂勞俱⟱⚌瘝կ姼㢪鵮〳⟄ㄤ痦♲倰㉁⚌⻊剪⸉䎂〵ㄤ䪮助霉⠮⡤禹鵳遤侮ざ䱲程㢴倰ざ⡲Ⱏ饒涸垷䒭կ㼆✵鲨⟱罜鎊歋✵♴康宠⯎駈㼆✵⸓⸂歏寑㔐佐涸䋒㽷〳䌐⸔䩧䒓倝涸⚌⸉ⵄ欽歏⸓鲨Ꝉ㈒ㄤ剪⸉緸絞⠏⸷鸣倝涸㟞挿կXXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁XXXSNJPSH/㔋猫⚺銳倝梠蒜⚥〳腊僽倝⚌䙖⚥涸ⵄ渤⚺⡤䖃䖃僽鍒Ɀ倰呩涸䲿⣘罏⢾㥵岲榰梠⥂ծLOOP瘝⚹ⵖ鸣㘗⟱⚌䲿⣘勞俱㔐佐ⱄ欰鍒Ɀ倰呩⛲〳腊僽ぢ嶊餩罏涸✳䩛㉁ㅷ䧴㉁ㅷ絶⥝䫡椚⟱⚌䧴䎂〵⢾㥵ꢀ됎瘝կ鵯❈㉁⚌䕎䙖㸤Ⰼ♶ず✵⠛絡涸欰❡ㄤ❜僒垷䒭㼜鸑鵂匬䒊刿帿Ⰶㄤ넞곸涸❡⚌梠蒜✽翫䌄勻Ⰼ倝涸㟞ꆀ䋑㖞կ♶ず梠蒜ꢂ倝涸✽⸓Ⱒ禹㖈⟄䗄梠垷䒭⚹暵䖄涸⟟⧩Ꝇ⚥ぐ⚡梠蒜⛓ꢂ涸翫禹ㄤ✽⸓劥魧⛲㼜霣欰倝涸㉁⚌劼麁կ罜鵯♧欰䙖涸䵨䒊⦶⸂✵⥌䜂涸Ⱆ䒓鷳僈⟄⥂霆㖈♧⚡刿⸈㢕勇涸欰䙖⚥䨾剣梠蒜⛓ꢂ涸鵶䱹腊㢿䒊用⚂剣佪鵘鲮կ絑⾎✫倝ⱟ氋䞔⛓た⥌䜂鷳僈䏞鄄䎛岌雭雿㖈ⰖⰟ✲⸉ㄤ㉁⚌梠㞯♴㖲䖤ⵌ✫剣佪Ⱒ岤ず傞侨㶶⻊䪮助⡲⚹♧猫㉁⚌餻腊䩛媯㖈⟱⚌盗椚⚥涸䎾欽⛲鷶姿䲀䎛կ䒸Ⰶ䗄梠垷䒭涸❡⚌欰䙖嶍⿺ⵌ⠍㢴♶ず銳稇涸絆ざծ⼸ずծ鷅驶ㄤ霉⠮㼆侮⚡⟟⧩緸絞涸⥌䜂Ⱆ䒓鷳僈ㄤ佅䭯䚍劼ⵖ涸㸤㊤Ⱘ剣䖎넞涸銳宠կ㖈鵯♧馋⸷♴佟䏎䎂〵㼜䪏怵䔂剣⸂涸靈䏞罏錭蒀罜侨㶶⻊鍒Ɀ倰呩䲿⣘罏ㄤ剣Ⱒ䪮助⣘䎾㉁㼜剣劼⠔鵳Ⰶ鵯♧倝涸䋑㖞䬪㾝B2C/B2B/B2G㢴⯋涸⚌⸉䕎䙖䧭⚹❡⚌欰䙖〄㾝涸餻腊罏䎇㹊梡荈魧涸⚌⸉㟞կ搬罜ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽䖎㣐玐䏞♳僽絑崸遤⚹「䋑㖞瑟ꢂ⿺湱Ⱒ佟瘻ꣳⵖ鳅㣐♶ずㅷ碫䏑暟ծ♶ずⱄ欰❡ㅷ涸䋑㖞瑟ꢂ㶸㖈鳅㣐䊵䒗⚂㖈傈渤㢕勇涸㕂ⰻ㢪䕎⸷」⻊勵⟝♴⛲㶸㖈♧㹁♶烁㹁䚍կ㥵卓ⱄ欰❡ㅷ劥魧㾩✵鵂ⶥ❡腊ծ衅た❡腊ⴭ곫劍涸佪渤⛲♶⠔❡欰⿿罜〳腊鷓䖤Ⱖ⿿կ㖈䱲程ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽湱Ⱒ䋑㖞劼麁涸ず傞⛲銳岤䠑ⵌ湱Ⱒ♶烁㹁䚍կ❡⚌劼麁紷錢䚪⡤罜鎊ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽⿺Ⱖ湱Ⱒ❡⚌Ꝇ勵♳涸劼麁〳勻荈㛇✵傁剣⟟⧩Ꝇ梠蒜涸倝瑟ꢂ䒓䬪ծⰌ倝梠蒜涸䕎䧭⟄⿺♶ず梠蒜ꢂ涸倝涸✽⸓Ⱒ禹կ湱Ⱒ劼匬〳罌⟄♴♲⚡⚺銳暵䖄䪾䳣劢勻涸馋⸷鵳♧姿䱲程湱䎾涸劼麁կ傁剣⟟⧩Ꝇ梠蒜涸倝瑟ꢂ䒓䬪㉁ㅷⵖ鸣㘗⟱⚌⚹곡䎾㕂꣢ㄤ㕂ⰻ絑崸佟瘻ㄤ䋑㖞馋⸷ㄤ䎾㼆畊✰㖈餴彂䒓ꅷծ❡ㅷ欰❡ㄤꝈ㈒梠蒜♳鵳遤倝կ㖈ぢ⟱⚌B2B涸遤⚌⚥⢪欽〳䗄梠涸勞俱䠑满꣭⡛㼆剣ꣳ餴彂涸⣜饆鵯♧⚿䲃腊㢿㟞䔂⟱⚌涸䫒굥ꤗ腊⸂絛✮⟱⚌䎾㼆佟瘻岁錞⯓➃♧姿涸鷓䎾腊⸂䎇㖈鿈ⴔ䞔ⲃ♴䲿⣘✫꣭⡛䧭劥涸〳腊䚍կ㖈ぢ嶊餩罏B2C涸遤⚌⚥ꥥ满倝欰➿嶊餩纈⡤涸Ⱆ字䠑霋䄕饰⟄⿺爢❜㯮⡤㖈➃⟌欰崞⚥涸㣐錞垷幷鷳嶊餩遤⚹䊺♶➑➑僽❜僒遤⚹鵮僽㹊梡⚡➃⟟⧩ㄤ㾝梡荈䧮➃霃涸ꅾ銳庈麤կ餝✈ㄤ⢪欽〳䗄梠涸❡ㅷ䧴䗄梠勞俱ⵖ䧭涸❡ㅷ鄄溏⡲僽騨遤爢⠔餓⟣涸遤⸓⛲僽痗ざ傞㼿惐崨涸欰崞倰䒭կ鵯肅嶊餩⸂ꆀ㼜⤛⢪⟄嶊餩ㅷⰖ⚹➿邍涸⟱⚌㼜“䗄梠絑崸”椚䙁輑Ⰶ剒彂㣢涸❡ㅷ霃雦ծ鷥》〳㔐佐勞俱涸♳康⣘䎾㉁ծ⠏⻊欰❡崨玐涸霃雦ㄤ鵘蠒ծ䎇鸑鵂蠒ꝈㄤꝈ㈒畮涸䠑衅㖑䔂⻊⟱⚌餓⟣䕎韌⟄⥂䭯⟱⚌㖈倝涸畊✰梠㞯♴䭆剣劍〳䭯絯㟞涸⠏⸷կ♶雿僽㖈ぢ⟱⚌鵮僽ぢ嶊餩罏涸遤⚌㉁ㅷⵖ鸣罏♸䗄梠絑崸欰䙖涸⸓劼ㄤ䧶殜鷥䭊ぐ荈♶ず⡎䗄梠絑崸椚䙁劥魧涸䒸Ⰶ㼜慨〄倝霣欰㉁ㅷ霃雦ծⵖ鸣ㄤꝈ㈒瘝傁剣梠蒜⚥涸倝劼麁կⰌ倝梠蒜涸䕎䧭銳㹊梡遤⚌欰䙖➢絁䚍垷䒭ⵌ䗄梠垷䒭涸鲮㘗倝涸❡⚌Ꝇ梠蒜䗳㼜䕎䧭❡欰倝涸ⵄ嶹寑䎇䧭⚹⾲剣❡⚌Ꝇ梠蒜⛓ꢂ涸咕咿կ鵯♧倰䲿⼮✫⼸ず佪桧劍腊㢿꣭⡛侮⚡⟟⧩緸絞涸䧭劥〥♧倰鸑鵂銳稇⛓ꢂ涸✽⸓ㄤ絆ざ腊㢿鸣ⴀ倝涸䋑㖞宠կⰨ⡤勻溏剣㔋猫⚺銳涸倝梠蒜⺫䭍ꅾ㢕ⵄ欽ծ絶⥝⚌⸉ծ暟椚㔐佐ㄤ⻊㷖㔐佐կ♸姼湱Ⱒ涸倝⚌䙖〳❡欰✵XXXSNJPSH/⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁罌俒柄EllenMacArthurFoundation,MaterialEconomics,CompletingthePicture:howthecirculareconomytacklesclimatechange(2019)EllenMacArthurFoundation,SUN,McKinsey&Co.,GrowthWithin:acirculareconomyvisionforacompetitiveEurope(2015)腊彂鲮㘗㨼プ⠔ծ衅㛇㿋灇瑕䨾⚥㕂2050♧⚡Ⰼ㹊梡梡➿⻊㕂㹻涸ꨪ焫㕃兞2019MaterialEconomics,TheCircularEconomy–aPowerfulForceforClimateMitigation(2018)痦✳妃Ⰼ㕂寓厩彂兜叅絡雦㕂㹻卌⚌ㄤ虊⾲㽷佟䏎緸շ⚥㕂㙹䋑䒊霃絡雦䎃ꊹոⱚ⚌鿈侨䰘⚆歲ꛩ꜈⼸⠔侨䰘10.⼶㹈霆ⵚⱄ欰ꜥ遤⚌灇瑕⚁곿䫣デ202111.IEA,TheFutureofPetrochemicals(2018)勚䫉蕥゠䕖ば꣥崸⚥㕂ꨪ焫㕃兞♴涸ⱄ欰餴彂ⵄ欽❡⚌劼麁2021ꤑ暵ⵆ叻岤㕃晙㖲勻荈istockㄤGSFFQJL.⻌❩䋑劊⼓兞⼶⽂遳5〿鵴峕⯕⼶㕂꣢C䏠16㽻06ծ07ծ08A⽀⯋www.rmi.orghJune2021RMI.晜勉䨾剣կRockyMountainInstitutemㄤRMIm鿪僽岤ⱃ㉁叻
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